Aggies home to Commodores in NCAAF betting action
|Vanderbilt Commodores||Texas A&M Aggies|
Two teams coming off polar-opposite outcomes meet as 5-2 Texas A&M and 4-3 Vanderbilt get together for an SEC bout Saturday afternoon in College Station (12:20 pm ET, ESPN Game Plan).
Vandy just upset Georgia 31-27, rallying from a 27-14 deficit with 17 fourth-quarter points. The Aggies, on the other hand, just got upset by Auburn 45-41, coughing up a 10-point fourth-quarter lead.
Both teams might also be dealing with quarterback situations; A&M's Johnny Manziel suffered a shoulder injury Saturday, while the Commodores' Austyn Carta-Samuels hurt his knee. Both are questionable for this Saturday's game.
Because of those injuries most college football betting outlets, as of early this week, were holding off on lining this game.
They battle the Commodores, currently with a 4-3 mark (3-4 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 6-1 for the Aggies and 4-3 for the Commodores.
The game pits the Aggies, currently No. 5 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Commodores, who rate No. 31 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 45-39 victory for the Aggies.
Vanderbilt won its last outing, a 31-27 result against Georgia on October 19. Vanderbilt covered in that game as a 6.5-point underdog, while the 58 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Johnny Manziel led the way last time out for the Aggies, connecting for 454 passing yards, but failing to earn the victory in a 45-41 loss to the Aggies at Kyle Field.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Texas A&M's No. 4-ranked offense (46.86 PPG) against a Commodores defense that ranks No. 59 at 26.57 PPG. The Aggies passing attack has averaged 377.14 yards per game, more than the Commodores give up through the air (206.14 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Commodores feature the league's No. 51-rated road run defense, allowing 159.5 yards per game. Texas A&M, meanwhile, ranks No. 56 in rushing offense at home.
A few Commodores at Aggies trends to consider:
Vanderbilt is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games
Vanderbilt is 5-9-1 SU in its last 15 games
Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas A&M is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games
Texas A&M is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas A&M is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games at home
Vanderbilt at Florida, Saturday, November 9th
Texas A&M at Texas El Paso, Saturday, November 2nd