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Betting line favors Broncos over Aztecs

Boise State BroncosSan Diego State Aztecs
Nov 19, 8:00 PM | Grass of Qualcomm Stadium

Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Odds

8-1TEAM RECORD6-3

The Boise State Broncos are on the road to face the San Diego State Aztecs in a game that means a whole lot less after last Saturday’s loss to TCU.

With that loss, Boise State is out of the BCS Championship picture and are behind TCU in the Mountain West.

The Broncos are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS on the road this season. Kellen Moore passed for 320 yards and two touchdowns, but it wasn’t enough last week.

This season the Aztecs are 6-3 overall and 3-6 ATS against the number, while the Broncos are 8-1 and 4-5 ATS. As for the totals, San Diego State is 4-5 on the OU, and Boise State is 6-3.

View Boise State vs San Diego State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: On the opening line for this matchup the Aztecs sat as 16-point underdogs . The total, meanwhile, had not been posted early in the week, so check the lines pages for the latest.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Aztecs sit at No. 45 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Broncos are at No. 4 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Broncos will win this game 52-34.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Diego State's No. 56-ranked offense (28.4 PPG) against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 15 at 18.9 PPG. The Aztecs passing attack has averaged 218 yards per game, more than the Broncos give up through the air (197 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 29-rated road run defense, allowing 129 yards per game. San Diego State, meanwhile, ranks No. 21 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Boise State was a 36-35 loser at home against TCU. They failed to cover the 15–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (71) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

San Diego State was a 18-15 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Colorado State. They failed to cover the 13–point spread as favorites, while the total score (33) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Boise State Broncos Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 8-2

San Diego State Aztecs Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few Broncos at Aztecs trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boise State's last 5 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boise State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games on the road
San Diego State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
San Diego State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 6 games
San Diego State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

Next up:
Boise State home to Wyoming, Saturday, November 26
San Diego State at UNLV, Saturday, November 26

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