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Betting line favors Falcons over Rebels

Air Force FalconsUNLV Rebels
Sep 22, 10:00 PM | Turf of Sam Boyd Stadium

Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels Odds

1-1TEAM RECORD0-3

Week 4 action on Saturday will see the Rebels looking to boost their win total and cover the spread when the Falcons visit Sam Boyd Stadium.

The Falcons will look to vanquish their hosts on Saturday, as they are 1-1 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Rebels are 2-1 ATS. Air Force is 0-1 against the total, while UNLV is 2-0 versus the number.

View Air Force vs UNLV Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Fans backing the Rebels here saw them open as 14-point underdogs in this college football clash. (Check back shortly for opening totals at sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark as none was available at the time this preview was written.)

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Rebels - Falcons odds would favor the Falcons if the lines were set according to power ranks. UNLV is rated No. 74 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Falcons sit at No. 44. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 39-24 win for the Falcons.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up UNLV's No. 94-ranked offense (22.7 PPG) against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 75 at 26 PPG. The Rebels passing attack has averaged 235.3 yards per game, less than the Falcons give up through the air (286.5 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Falcons feature the league's No. 72-rated road run defense, allowing 214 yards per game. UNLV, meanwhile, ranks No. 77 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Air Force was a 31-25 loser on the road against Michigan. They covered the 21.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (56) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Cody Getz tore up the turf for 130 rushing yards in the latest Falcons game, a 31-25 loss to the Wolverines at Michigan Stadium.

UNLV was a 35-27 loser in their most recent outing at home against Washington State. They covered the 8.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (62) made winners of OVER bettors. Nick Sherry's 351-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Washington State earned a 35-27 win over UNLV on Friday at Sam Boyd Stadium.

Air Force Falcons Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 5-5

UNLV Rebels Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few Falcons at Rebels trends to consider:
Air Force is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UNLV
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 6 games when playing UNLV
Air Force is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UNLV
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UNLV's last 6 games when playing Air Force
UNLV is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Air Force
UNLV is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
UNLV is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force

Next up:
Air Force home to Colorado State, Saturday, September 29
UNLV at Utah State, Saturday, September 29