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Betting line favors Lobos over Falcons

Air Force Falcons New Mexico Lobos
2-7 November 08, 2013, 09:00 | University Stadium 2-6



The Lobos will try to win and cover the spread at University Stadium on Friday when they get a visit from the Falcons in Week 11 action.

The Lobos are 2-6 so far on the season, and 4-3-1 ATS vs. the number. The Falcons, meanwhile, are 2-7 and 3-6 ATS. Over under bettors have seen New Mexico go 6-2 and the Falcons go 5-4 on the totals.

View Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Odds and Stats.

Bettors looking to side with the Lobos in this one found them as -1.5-point favorites at GTbets.eu. The over under number was slated to open a short time later.

The Lobos sit at No. 97 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Falcons are at No. 116 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Lobos will win this game 26-19.

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In their last action, Air Force was a 42-28 winner at home against Army. They covered the 1-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (70) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Lobos suffered a Week 10 loss against San Diego State in their last game, falling 35-30 at Qualcomm Stadium.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits New Mexico's No. 46-ranked offense, averaging 32.62 PPG, against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 114 this week at 37.33 PPG. The Lobos aerial game is averaging 108.62 yards per game, less than the Falcons secondary allows through the air, 256.89 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Falcons feature the league's No. 106-rated road run defense, allowing 237.33 yards per game. New Mexico, meanwhile, ranks No. 2 in rushing offense at home.

A few Falcons at Lobos trends to consider:
Air Force is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
Air Force is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Air Force is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Air Force is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New Mexico is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Mexico's last 7 games
New Mexico is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
New Mexico is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home


Next up:
Air Force at UNLV, Thursday, November 21st
New Mexico at Colorado State, Saturday, November 16th