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Betting line favors Wolverines over Golden Gophers

Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan Wolverines

In the battle for the Little Brown Jug No. 19 Michigan battles 4-1 Minnesota Saturday afternoon in Big Blue's Homecoming game at the Big House (3:30 pm ET, ABC/ESPN2).

In the early betting the Wolverines, who have won the last five games in this series, were favored by 20 points over the Gophers, who just opened their Big Ten slate with a loss to Iowa.

The Wolverines sport records of 4-0 and 2-2 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Golden Gophers sit at 4-0 and 3-1 ATS on the season. The over under records are 2-2 for the Wolverines and 3-1 for the Golden Gophers.

View Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan Wolverines Odds and Stats.

Those siding with the visitors in this one saw the Golden Gophers listed as 21-point underdogs earlier this week at Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line was 50 over at BetOnline as of midweek.

The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 77-rated Golden Gophers taking on the No. 25-rated Wolverines in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 42-20 win for the Wolverines on Saturday.

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In their last action, Minnesota was a 23-7 loser at home against Iowa. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (30) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Fitzgerald Toussaint ran through the Connecticut defense for 120 yards in Michigan's last game, handing the Huskies a 24-21 setback on Saturday at Rentschler Field.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Michigan's No. 32-ranked offense, averaging 38 PPG, against a Golden Gophers defense that ranks No. 39 this week at 20.6 PPG. The Wolverines aerial game is averaging 215 yards per game, less than the Golden Gophers secondary allows through the air, 259.6 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Golden Gophers own the league's No. 5-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 47 yards per game when on the road. Michigan, on the other hand, rates No. 65 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Golden Gophers at Wolverines trends to consider:
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Michigan
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Next up:
Minnesota at Northwestern, Saturday, October 19th
Michigan at Penn State, Saturday, October 12th