Alabama huge chalk vs Arkansas
The top-ranked Crimson Tide are monster favorites over the reeling Razorbacks in an SEC mismatch.
A 28-point favorite, Alabama is favored for the 46th consecutive game. Only Texas A&M has really tested Nick Saban’s Tide, and Arkansas doesn’t appear to have the horses to compete.
The Razorbacks were run over at home last week in 52-7 loss to South Carolina. Arkansas gave up 277 yards rushing, turned the ball over three times and managed just 245 yards on offense in suffering its fourth straight loss.
Alabama won last season’s meeting 52-0, holding the Razorbacks to 137 yards of offense.
The Crimson Tide are 18-12 against the spread in their last 30 SEC games.
This season the Crimson Tide are 6-0 overall and 3-3 ATS against the number, while the Razorbacks are 3-4 and 2-5 ATS. As for the totals, Alabama is 3-3 on the OU, and Arkansas is 4-3.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Crimson Tide rated this week at No. 2 and the Razorbacks sitting at No. 92. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 43-16 result in favor of the Crimson Tide this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Alabama's No. 23-ranked offense (38.83 PPG) against a Razorbacks defense that ranks No. 72 at 27.57 PPG. The Crimson Tide passing attack has averaged 260.17 yards per game, more than the Razorbacks give up through the air (221.43 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Razorbacks feature the league's No. 10-rated road run defense, allowing 84.5 yards per game. Alabama, meanwhile, ranks No. 79 in rushing offense at home.
A few Razorbacks at Crimson Tide trends to consider:
Arkansas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Arkansas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Arkansas is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Arkansas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games
Alabama is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arkansas at Auburn, Saturday, November 2nd
Alabama at Tennessee, Saturday, October 26th