Music City Bowl Odds: Wake Forest vs Miss State
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Odds
Seven of the past 10 Music City Bowls played UNDER the total, a fact that bettors backing the Wake Forest Demon Deacons or the Mississippi State Bulldogs Odds need to watch out for Dec. 30.
Senior RB Vick Ballard was the only consistent performer for a 6-6 Mississippi State offense. Ballard finished the year with 1,009 rushing yards and eight rushing yards. Wake Forest also became bowl-eligible by the slimmest fo margins, finishing at 6-6.
They were terrible down the stretch losing 5 of their past 7, not a good roll to hit the bowl game on, but that often is motivation for a big performance. Of note, faves have only covered the Music City Bowl point spread twice in seven years.
Betting Line: Sportsbooks had the Bulldogs pegged as 6.5-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, sat around 48 earlier this week, check the latest over under number at Bovada today.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Mississippi State's No. 73-ranked offense, averaging 25.5 PPG, against a Demon Deacons defense that ranks No. 70 this week at 27.8 PPG. The Bulldogs aerial game is averaging 186.2 yards per game, less than the Demon Deacons secondary allows through the air, 236.2 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Demon Deacons feature the league's No. 58-rated road run defense, allowing 164 yards per game. Mississippi State, meanwhile, ranks No. 74 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for Wake Forest, they were a 41-7 loser as they battled Vanderbilt at home. Wake Forest failed to cover in the match as a 1-point favorite, while 48 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.
Mississippi State was a 31-3 winner in its last match at home against Mississippi. They covered the 17–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 34 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Trends:
When playing in December are 4-0-1
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When an underdog on the road are 2-8
Mississippi State Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in December are 3-2
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When favored at home are 9-1
A few Demon Deacons at Bulldogs trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games
Wake Forest is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Mississippi State's last 10 games