Oregon huge chalk vs Tennessee: Pick

No. 2 Oregon will be looking to make a statement against an SEC opponent, when Tennessee visits Autzen Stadium.

The Ducks opened as 21-point favorites. This line is expected to climb throughout the week.

Oregon is off to its typical fast start, with blowout wins over Nicholls State and Virginia. The Ducks are 15-10-2 at home against the spread over the last five seasons.

The Volunteers are 2-0 under first-year coach Butch Jones, after easy wins over Austin Peay and Western Kentucky.

These two teams met in 2010, with the Ducks rolling to a 48-13 win in Knoxville.

Tennessee is 4-14-2 against the spread in its last 20 games as an underdog.

View Tennessee vs Oregon Odds and Stats.

Oregon Tennessee Betting Line: Oddsmakers opened the Ducks as 21.5-point favorites in the matchup, but it was bet way up to -28 at Bovada by Thursday. Meanwhile the betting total at 5Dimes was 70.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Ducks, currently No. 14 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Volunteers, who rate No. 42 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 48-20 victory for the Ducks.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oregon's No. 3-ranked offense (62.5 PPG) against a Volunteers defense that ranks No. 15 at 10 PPG. The Ducks passing attack has averaged 239.5 yards per game, more than the Volunteers give up through the air (177 YPG on average).

Tennessee won its last outing, a 52-20 result against Western Kentucky on September 7. Tennessee covered in that game as a 14.5-point favorite, while the 72 combined points took the game OVER the total. Tennessee cruised to victory in its last outing, as they ran up a 52-20 score against Western Kentucky at Neyland Stadium.

Oregon was a 59-10 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Virginia. They covered the 25.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (69) made winners of OVER bettors. De'Anthony Thomas tore up the turf for 124 rushing yards in the latest Ducks game, a 59-10 win over the Cavaliers at Scott Stadium.

Tennessee Volunteers Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 10-0

Oregon Ducks Trends:
When playing in September are 9-1
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 9-1

A few Volunteers at Ducks trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tennessee's last 12 games
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Tennessee is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Oregon is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games
Oregon is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon's last 8 games

Next up:
Tennessee at Florida, Saturday, September 21
Oregon home to California, Saturday, September 28

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