Air Force, at 5-5 on the season, gets a chance to become bowl-eligible when it hosts 1-8 Hawaii Friday night in Colorado Springs (9:30 pm ET, ESPN2).
The Falcons, who have lost their last two games, were early 23-point favorites over the Warriors, who have lost seven in a row.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Falcons sit at No. 114 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Warriors are at No. 117 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Falcons will win this game 32-7.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Air Force's No. 49-ranked offense (30.6 PPG) against a Warriors defense that ranks No. 123 at 43.3 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 122.3 yards per game, less than the Warriors give up through the air (208.8 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Warriors own the league's No. 87-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 199.6 yards per game when on the road. Air Force, on the other hand, rates No. 1 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Hawaii lost its last outing, a 49-14 result against Boise State on November 10. Hawaii failed to cover in that game as a 27.5-point underdog, while the 63 combined points took the game OVER the total. Hawaii didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Broncos as Boise State blasted them 49-14 in Week 11 action.
Air Force was a 28-9 loser in their most recent outing on the road against San Diego State. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (37) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Falcons suffered a Week 11 loss against San Diego State in their last game, falling 28-9 at Qualcomm Stadium.
Hawaii Warriors Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 1-9
Air Force Falcons Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 7-3
A few Warriors at Falcons trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games
Hawaii is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Hawaii is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Hawaii is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Air Force is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Air Force's last 6 games
Air Force is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Air Force is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Hawaii home to UNLV, Saturday, November 24
Air Force at Fresno State, Saturday, November 24