Gators vs Hurricanes betting preview
The Gators opened as 2-point road favorites in the first meeting between these two in-state rivals since 2008.
The Gators looked strong defensively in an opening win over Toledo, despite five players being suspended and multiple others missing the game with injuries. Most of the players who sat out against Toledo are supposed to be back to face Miami, a team expected to contend in the ACC in coach Al Golden’s second season.
Star running back Duke Johnson rushed for 186 yards and a touchdown in the Hurricanes’ 34-6 opening win over Florida Atlantic.
Miami went 3-0 as a home underdog last season and is 5-2 in that situation over the past 10 seasons.
Florida vs Miami Betting Line: Fans backing the Hurricanes here saw them open at 5Dimes as 2-point underdogs in this college football clash, but it climbed to -3 as of Thursday. The total was 49 mid-week over at Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Hurricanes - Gators odds would favor the Gators if the lines were set according to power ranks. Miami is rated No. 63 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Gators sit at No. 17. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 26-16 win for the Hurricanes.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 46-ranked offense (34 PPG) against a Gators defense that ranks No. 11 at 6 PPG. The Hurricanes passing attack has averaged 200 yards per game, more than the Gators give up through the air (155 YPG on average).
In their last action, Florida was a 24-6 winner at home against Toledo. They failed to cover the 22-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (30) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Mack Brown tore up the turf for 112 rushing yards in the latest Gators game, a 24-6 win over the Rockets at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
Miami was a 34-6 winner in their most recent outing at home against Florida Atlantic. They failed to cover the 31-point spread as favorites, while the total score (40) made winners of UNDER bettors. Duke Johnson ran through the Florida Atlantic defense for 186 yards in Miami's last game, handing the Owls a 34-6 setback on Friday at Sun Life Stadium.
Florida Gators Trends:
When playing in September are 10-0
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 8-2
Miami Hurricanes Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 6-4
A few Gators at Hurricanes trends to consider:
Florida is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
Florida home to Tennessee, Saturday, September 21
Miami home to Savannah St, Saturday, September 21