Game Preview - Bulldogs underdogs vs Crimson Tide at Mississippi State
|Alabama Crimson Tide||Mississippi State Bulldogs|
|9-0||November 16, 2013, 07:45 | Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field||4-5|
No. 1 Alabama heads to Mississippi State as a giant road favorite. The Crimson Tide opened as 24.5-point favorites over the Bulldogs, who have lost eight of 10 SEC games.
Alabama is coming of an impressive performance in a win over LSU and seems destined for a third straight BCS National Championship Game. The Crimson Tide has won five straight against Mississippi State, covering the spread in four of those meetings.
The Bulldogs are headed in the other direction, having lost straight. Coach Dan Mullen has been utilizing a two-quarterback platoon featuring the mobile Dak Prescott and pocket-passer Tyler Russell.
Mississippi State is 0-2 against the spread as home underdogs this season and has lost 12 straight as double-digit home dog since 2004.
Alabama meanwhile is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road and 12-2 ATS as double-digit road fave since 2005.
This is the 51st consecutive game Alabama has been the favorite. The Bulldogs sit at 4-5 (4-5 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Crimson Tide are currently 9-0 (6-3 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Mississippi State is 4-5 OU, and Alabama is 5-3-1 OU.
The Bulldogs sit at No. 79 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Crimson Tide are at No. 3 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Crimson Tide will win this game 53-17.
Dak Prescott tore up the turf for 154 rushing yards in the latest Bulldogs game, a 51-41 loss to the Aggies at Kyle Field.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi State's No. 61-ranked offense (29.78 PPG) against a Crimson Tide defense that ranks No. 1 at 10.56 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 249.56 yards per game, more than the Crimson Tide give up through the air (185.89 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Crimson Tide own the league's No. 33-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 137 yards per game when on the road. Mississippi State, on the other hand, rates No. 32 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Crimson Tide at Bulldogs trends to consider:
Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Alabama's last 12 games
Alabama is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Mississippi State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
Mississippi State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Alabama at Chattanooga, Saturday, November 23rd
Mississippi State at Arkansas, Saturday, November 23rd