Golden Bears open as underdog vs Cardinal
|California Golden Bears||Stanford Cardinal|
The Stanford Cardinal had the inside track on a berth in the Pac-12 championship game, that is until they lost at USC last Saturday.
This week Stanford will try to bounce back and stay alive in the Pac-12 North when it hosts the 1-10 Cal Bears for the Big Game down on the Farm Saturday afternoon.
The Cardinal had beaten Oregon to take the advantage in the North, but gave it back by losing on a field goal at the buzzer at Southern Cal. At 6-2 in conference play Stanford now trails the Ducks by a half-game in the North.
On the other end of the spectrum Cal has struggled in its first season under Coach Dykes, losing its last nine games, many in blow-out fashion. The Bears haven't yet beaten an FBS team, and lost last week to a Colorado team that had itself lost 14 Pac-12 games in a row.
As of early this week the Cardinal, who have won the last three games in this series, were favored by 31 points over Cal.
The Cardinal sit at 8-2 (5-5 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Golden Bears are currently 1-10 (2-9 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Stanford is 4-6 OU, and California is 4-6-1 OU.
Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Cardinal as -28.5-point favorites in the matchup, while the betting total had not been set at press time (check the college football odds link for the latest on the over under)..
It's a betting matchup between the No. 28-rated Cardinal and the No. 111-ranked Golden Bears, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 37-8 result in favor of the Cardinal.
California was a 41-24 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Colorado. They failed to cover the 1-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (65) made winners of UNDER bettors. Brendan Bigelow tore up the turf for 107 rushing yards in the latest Golden Bears game, a 41-24 loss to the Buffaloes at Folsom Field. In their last game, Stanford got a 158-yard performance from Tyler Gaffney, but Southern Cal prevailed 20-17.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Stanford's No. 58-ranked offense, averaging 30.4 PPG, against a Golden Bears defense that ranks No. 123 this week at 44.36 PPG. The Cardinal aerial game is averaging 177.6 yards per game, less than the Golden Bears secondary allows through the air, 334.09 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Golden Bears own the league's No. 65-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 181.25 yards per game when on the road. Stanford, on the other hand, rates No. 37 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Golden Bears at Cardinal trends to consider:
California is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games
California is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 6 games
California is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Stanford is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 5 games
Stanford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Stanford home to Notre Dame, Saturday, November 30th