The Florida State vs Miami rivarly is one the fiercest in college football and one of the toughest for handicappers to pick each year.
The foes meet as the Seminoles host the Hurricanes at Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday.
Florida State has won 4 of 6 meetings including a blowout last years that the Canes will want to avenge.
The Noles bring a 6-3 record (5-4 ATS) to the Week 11 battle against the 5-4 Hurricanes, who are 5-4 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen Florida State go 4-5 so far and the Hurricanes go 6-3.
View Miami vs Florida State Odds and Stats.
Betting Line: The visitors opened as 9.5-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark. (The best Noles spread Saturday was -9 at Sportsbook while the best Canes line was +9.5 at Sportsbook).
The total was around 51 all week but the best OVER number today was at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Seminoles rated this week at No. 16 and the Hurricanes sitting at No. 44. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 46-35 result in favor of the Seminoles this week.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Florida State's No. 20-ranked offense, averaging 35.9 PPG, against a Hurricanes defense that ranks No. 28 this week at 21.2 PPG. The Seminoles aerial game is averaging 292.3 yards per game, more than the Hurricanes secondary allows through the air, 205.7 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Hurricanes feature the league's No. 51-rated road run defense, allowing 154.7 yards per game. Florida State, meanwhile, ranks No. 96 in rushing offense at home.
Miami was a 49-14 Sportsbook in their most recent outing at home against Duke. They covered the 15–point spread as favorites, while the total score (63) made Sportsbooks of OVER bettors.
Florida State was a 38-7 Sportsbook in its last match on the road against Boston College. They covered the 14.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 45 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
Miami Hurricanes Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 5-5
Florida State Seminoles Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 6-4
A few Hurricanes at Seminoles trends to consider:
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Florida State
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Florida State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida State's last 11 games at home
Next up:
Miami at South Florida, Saturday, November 19
Florida State home to Virginia, Saturday, November 19
