Jaguars open as underdog vs Mean Green
South Alabama Jaguars vs North Texas Mean Green Odds
Apogee Stadium will feature Mean Green vs. Jaguars on Saturday as both teams try to pay off for bettors in Week 11 action.
The Mean Green are 3-6 so far on the season, and 3-6 ATS vs. the number. The Jaguars, meanwhile, are 2-7 and 4-5 ATS. Over under bettors have seen North Texas go 4-4 and the Jaguars go 4-4 on the totals.
Betting Line: Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook.ag had set the Mean Green as 9.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest.
Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 37-rated Mean Green and the No. 105-ranked Jaguars, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 17-15 result in favor of the Mean Green.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up North Texas's No. 103-ranked offense (20.8 PPG) against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 80 at 29.3 PPG. The Mean Green passing attack has averaged 229.3 yards per game, more than the Jaguars give up through the air (217.6 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Jaguars own the league's No. 39-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 141.5 yards per game when on the road. North Texas, on the other hand, rates No. 30 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
South Alabama lost its last outing, a 28-20 result against Florida International on November 3. South Alabama failed to cover in that game as a 3.5-point underdog, while the 48 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, the Jaguars were Week 10 losers coming out on the wrong end of 28-20 score against Florida International.
North Texas was a 37-19 loser in their most recent outing at home against Arkansas State. They failed to cover the 4.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (56) made winners of UNDER bettors. Derek Thompson handled the Red Wolves defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 316 yards, but North Texas still lost to Arkansas State 37-19.
South Alabama Jaguars Trends:
When playing in November are 0-1
When playing on turf are 2-5
After outgaining opponent are 1-1
When playing within the conference are 1-4
North Texas Mean Green Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 5-5
A few Jaguars at Mean Green trends to consider:
South Alabama is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
South Alabama is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games
North Texas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
North Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
North Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
South Alabama home to Middle Tennessee, Saturday, November 17
North Texas at Louisiana-Monroe, Saturday, November 17