The 10-1 Kansas State Wildcats will try to win the Big 12 championship and earn a BCS bowl berth when they host 8-3 Texas Longhorns Saturday night in Manhattan (8 pm ET, ABC).
K State, coming off a bye week after its loss at Baylor, was an early 12-point favorite over the 'Horns, who just got upset by TCU.
Betting Line: The Wildcats were listed as 10.5-point favorites at sportsbooks such as on the college football lines. The over under was 60 early Saturday at .
Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 10-rated Wildcats and the No. 43-ranked Longhorns, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 51-41 result in favor of the Wildcats.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Kansas State's No. 11-ranked offense (40.5 PPG) against a Longhorns defense that ranks No. 65 at 28.3 PPG. The Wildcats passing attack has averaged 214.6 yards per game, less than the Longhorns give up through the air (216.2 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Longhorns own the league's No. 108-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 226.8 yards per game when on the road. Kansas State, on the other hand, rates No. 13 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Texas was a 20-13 loser in their most recent outing at home against TCU. They failed to cover the 7-point spread as favorites, while the total score (33) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Longhorns suffered a Week 13 loss against TCU in their last game, falling 20-13 at Memorial Stadium.
Last time out for Kansas State, they were a 52-24 loser as they battled Baylor on the road. Kansas State failed to cover in the match as a 12-point favorite, while 76 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. In their last gridiron battle, Chris Harper did much of the damage, producing 123 receiving yards but Kansas State managed to defeat the Wildcats 52-24 at Floyd Casey Stadium.
Texas Longhorns Trends:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 6-4
Kansas State Wildcats Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 9-1
A few Longhorns at Wildcats trends to consider:
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games on the road
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas State's last 5 games at home
Kansas State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas