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Cardinals Have a Habit of Cashing Tickets in Season-Opening Games

Led by Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson, the Louisville Cardinals were the surprise team of the 2016 college football season. After winning nine games a year ago, Jackson is back to continue his assault on the rest of the FBS. The No. 17-ranked Cardinals open their season against the Purdue Boilermakers, where sportsbooks opened Purdue as 24.5-point home underdogs with a total of 68.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Purdue’s last 12 games as underdog.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of Louisville’s last 10 games as a favorite of 25.0 or less.
  • Purdue is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games in Week 1.

While Jackson is an otherworldly talent at the quarterback position, he’s going to have some new faces around him. Louisville lost three offensive linemen as well as its leading rusher and top three receivers. Not great, Bob. The signal-caller will have to do the majority of the heavy lifting, but he’s more than capable regardless of who’s surrounding him on offense.

On the heels of a 3-9 SU record, the Boilermakers have nowhere to go but up right now. The team has won three games or less in each of the last four seasons, which hasn’t exactly inspired a fan base that hasn’t had much to cheer for in quite some time now.

There are some positives, though. Quarterback David Blough is back, and he’s coming off a 25-touchdown year while eclipsing the 3,300-yard mark. Blough must take better care of the ball, however, as his 21 interceptions greatly hindered Purdue’s offense.

Louisville has traditionally been an excellent bet when opening the season. In the Cardinals’ last five Week 1 tilts, they’re a perfect 5-0 ATS.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Purdue Boilermakers pegged as 23.5-point underdogs in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, had yet to be posted as of writing; check the lines shortly.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and analytics picked a 46-11 win for the Cardinals. That value could change during the week, if injuries or other factors alter the numbers, so check the college football picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Louisville Cardinals vs Purdue Boilermakers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Louisville Cardinals have seen them go 0-0 and 0-0 ATS so far this season, while the Purdue Boilermakers are at 0-0 and 0-0 ATS. In totals betting, the Boilermakers are 0-0, while the Cardinals are 0-0. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Purdue vs Louisville injuries news.

The game pits the Purdue Boilermakers, currently No. 114 in our OddsShark NCAA Football Power Rankings, against the Louisville Cardinals, who rate No. 8 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Purdue's No. -ranked offense, averaging PPG, against a Louisville defense that ranks No. this week at PPG. The Purdue aerial game is averaging yards per game, more than the Louisville Cardinals secondary allows through the air, YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Louisville Cardinals owned the league's No. 8-rated front 7 last year in terms of stopping the run, allowing 114.5 yards per game when on the road. Purdue, on the other hand, rated No. 120 in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Louisville was hammered in its last outing, as LSU ran up a 29-9 score against them at Camping World Stadium.

In their last game, the Boilermakers were losers, coming out on the wrong end of 26-24 score against Indiana.

Betting Trends
  • Louisville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Louisville is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of Louisville's last 18 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 6 games
  • Purdue is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games

Next Betting Matchups

Louisville at North Carolina, Saturday, September 9
Purdue home to Ohio, Friday, September 8

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