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LSU Struggling To Cover Against Arkansas

LSU has had difficulty covering the spread of late, a problem that may get worse before it gets better. The Tigers are just 1-8 ATS in their past nine games against the Arkansas Razorbacks, who host LSU on Saturday. 

Shark Bites
  • The UNDER is 3-1 in the past 4 games between LSU and Arkansas.
  • LSU is 35-4 SU in its last 39 games after a loss.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas's last 7 games at home.

Give props to LSU’s defense for keeping Alabama scoreless for three quarters last week, but the team's offense was a bloody shambles. Leonard Fournette struggled against the Alabama defense for the second consecutive year, but the Arkansas defense has been just as stingy against the running back. Fournette rushed for a pedestrian 91 yards against the Razorbacks last season, his second-lowest number that year.

Good luck figuring out the Arkansas defense. Two weeks ago Auburn gashed the Hogs for 543 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground, then last week they held Florida to 12 yards on 14 carries. On offense, running back Rawleigh Williams III is vital, as the sophomore has averaged 134.7 rushing yards in wins compared with 49 in losses.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans backing the Arkansas Razorbacks here saw them at Bovada as 7-point underdogs in this college football clash. (Check back shortly for opening totals at sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark as none was available at the time this preview was written.)

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 38-26 victory for the Tigers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The LSU Tigers will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 3-5 ATS against the spread this season, while the Arkansas Razorbacks are 4-5 ATS. LSU is 0-7-1 on the over under betting totals; Arkansas is 4-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Arkansas vs LSU injuries news.

The game pits the Arkansas Razorbacks, currently No. 66 in our Odds Shark NCAA Football Power Rankings, against the LSU Tigers, who rate No. 22 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Arkansas Razorbacks No. 54-ranked offense (30.88 PPG) against a LSU Tigers defense that ranks No. 5 at 15 PPG. The Arkansas Razorbacks passing attack has averaged 256.38 yards per game, more than the LSU Tigers give up through the air (208.43 YPG on average).

Defensively, the LSU Tigers feature the league's No. 0-rated road run defense, allowing 144 yards per game. Arkansas, meanwhile, ranks No. 0 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Tigers were Week 10 losers coming out on the wrong end of 10-0 score against Alabama.

Rawleigh Williams III ran through the Florida defense for 148 yards in Arkansas's last game, handing the Gators a 31-10 setback on Saturday at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Louisiana State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana State's last 8 games
  • Louisiana State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Louisiana State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Arkansas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Arkansas is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
  • Arkansas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

LSU home to South Alabama, Saturday, November 19th
Arkansas at Mississippi State, Saturday, November 19th

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