Minutemen vs Commodores Preview
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Massachusetts Minutemen Odds
The Massachusetts Minutemen host Vanderbilt on Saturday, looking to build on their 1-2 ATS mark against the 1-2 Commodores in NCAAF action at Gillette Stadium.
Supporters of the Commodores have seen them go 1-2 and 1-2 ATS so far this season, while the Minutemen are at 0-3 and 1-2 ATS. In totals betting, the Minutemen are 0-3, while the Commodores are 2-1.
Betting Line: Several shops tracked by OddsShark (including Bovada) set the point spread at 36 in favor of the home side. NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).
Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 92-rated Minutemen and the No. 85-ranked Commodores, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 32--3 result in favor of the Commodores.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Massachusetts's No. 125-ranked offense (7 PPG) against a Commodores defense that ranks No. 70 at 25.7 PPG. The Minutemen passing attack has averaged 166.3 yards per game, less than the Commodores give up through the air (232 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Commodores feature the league's No. 69-rated road run defense, allowing 220 yards per game. Massachusetts, meanwhile, ranks No. 113 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for Vanderbilt, they were a 35-25 loser as they battled South Carolina on the road. Vanderbilt covered in the match as a 10.5-point underdog, while 60 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Jordan Matthews was good for 106 receiving yards in the Commodores's most recent action, but while it helped his stats, it didn’t help his team to victory and they fell 35-25 to the Commodores.
Last time out for Massachusetts, they were a 37-7 loser as they battled Kansas State on the road. Massachusetts covered in the match as a 37.5-point underdog, while 44 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Massachusetts didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Wildcats as Kansas State blasted them 37-7 in Week 3 action.
Vanderbilt Commodores Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 8-2
Massachusetts Minutemen Trends:
When playing in September are 0-10
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the conference are 0-10
A few Commodores at Minutemen trends to consider:
Vanderbilt is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 6 games
Massachusetts is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Massachusetts is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Massachusetts is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Vanderbilt home to UAB, Saturday, September 28
Massachusetts at Bowling Green, Saturday, October 5