Notre Dame vs Arizona State Preview
Notre Dame has yet to cover the spread this season and finds itself in the underdog role for the season straight week, when the Fighting Irish take on Arizona State at Dallas Cowboys Stadium on Saturday.
The Sun Devils, fresh off drubbing USC, 62-41, and ending Lane Kiffin’s tenure, opened as 6-point favorites over the Fighting Irish. Arizona State racked up 612 off offense, 256 coming on the ground, in the win over the Trojans. The Sun Devils also own a win over Wisconsin.
Notre Dame couldn’t overcome three first-half interceptions and fell to Oklahoma, 35-21, last week. The Fighting Irish is 0-5-1 against the spread in their last six games as underdogs.
Supporters of the Sun Devils have seen them go 3-1 and 2-2 ATS so far this season, while the Fighting Irish are at 3-2 and 0-4-1 ATS. In totals betting, the Fighting Irish are 3-2, while the Sun Devils are 4-0.
Several shops tracked by OddsShark (including Bovada) set the point spread at 6.5 in favor of the home side, but it was getting bet down. NCAA football bettors saw the total hovering around 61.5 midweek over at BetOnline.
The Fighting Irish sit at No. 39 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Sun Devils are at No. 37 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Sun Devils will win this game 43-30.
Last time out for Arizona State, they were a 62-41 winner as they battled Southern Cal at home. Arizona State covered in the match as a 3.5-point favorite, while 103 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. George Atkinson went over the 100-yard mark (148) in his team's latest effort, but Oklahoma still defeated Notre Dame by a score of 35-21.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Notre Dame's No. 86-ranked offense, averaging 25.4 PPG, against a Sun Devils defense that ranks No. 80 this week at 28.25 PPG. The Fighting Irish aerial game is averaging 244.8 yards per game, more than the Sun Devils secondary allows through the air, 193 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Sun Devils own the league's No. 25-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 102 yards per game when on the road. Notre Dame, on the other hand, rates No. 86 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Sun Devils at Fighting Irish trends to consider:
Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State's last 6 games at home
Arizona State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Notre Dame is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 6 games on the road
Notre Dame is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
Arizona State at Colorado, Saturday, October 12th
Notre Dame at Southern Cal, Saturday, October 19th