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NCAAF Matchup - Lobos Rebels Odds Preview

UNLV RebelsNew Mexico Lobos
Nov 12, 10:00 PM | Grass of University Stadium

UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos Odds

2-6TEAM RECORD0-9

The Lobos will try to pay off for their supporters on Saturday when they play host to the Rebels at University Stadium in Week 11 action.

They bring a 0-9 record (3-6 ATS) to the Week 11 battle against the 2-6 Rebels, who are 4-4 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen New Mexico go 4-4-1 so far and the Rebels go 5-2-1.

View UNLV vs New Mexico Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: If you're going with the Lobos in this one, they're listed as 6.5-point underdogs on the betting line for the contest.

Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 117 (Lobos) and the No. 89 (Rebels) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 7--3 result in favor of the Rebels is predicted by handicapping models.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New Mexico's No. 120-ranked offense (12.6 PPG) against a Rebels defense that ranks No. 118 at 41.5 PPG. The Lobos passing attack has averaged 179.4 yards per game, less than the Rebels give up through the air (279.4 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Rebels feature the league's No. 98-rated road run defense, allowing 212.8 yards per game. New Mexico, meanwhile, ranks No. 96 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for UNLV, they were a 48-21 loser as they battled Boise State at home. UNLV covered in the match as a 43-point underdog, while 69 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

New Mexico was a 35-7 loser in their most recent outing on the road against San Diego State. They covered the 35–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (42) made winners of UNDER bettors.

UNLV Rebels Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 3-7

New Mexico Lobos Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing within the conference are 1-9

A few Rebels at Lobos trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNLV's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UNLV's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UNLV's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNLV's last 6 games when playing New Mexico
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games when playing at home against UNLV
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Mexico's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 6 games when playing UNLV
New Mexico is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against UNLV

Next up:
UNLV at Air Force, Saturday, November 19
New Mexico at Wyoming, Saturday, November 19

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