Iowa vs LSU - Outback Bowl Betting Pick
LSU and Iowa will be meeting for the first time since 2005 on January 1 as those two schools hit the field at Raymond James Stadium for this year's Outback Bowl.
Iowa upset LSU 30-25 when the teams last met back on January 1, 2005 in the Capital One Bowl; the Tigers had been listed as 6-point favorites for that contest.
Iowa is 6-2 ATS in its past eight bowl games and the Hawkeyes were tough on the road this year, going 5-0 ATS away from home in 2013.
But they face a LSU team that is 27-3 SU in its past 30 games as favorites, which has an obvious impact on the Outback Bowl betting odds.
Overall, the past four (and nine of past 12) Outback Bowls played OVER the total. LSU was favored by 7.5 points last night at Bovada.
The Tigers sit at 9-3 (5-6-1 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Hawkeyes are currently 8-4 (7-5 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? LSU is 8-3-1 OU, and Iowa is 7-4-1 OU.
The game pits the Tigers, currently No. 20 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Hawkeyes, who rate No. 34 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 38-32 victory for the Tigers.
Last time out for Iowa, they were a 38-17 winner as they battled Nebraska on the road. Iowa covered in the match as a 2.5-point underdog, while 55 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Nebraska didn�t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Hawkeyes as Iowa blasted them 38-17 in Week 14 action. In their last game, LSU got a 145-yard performance from Jeremy Hill as a key part of its 31-27 win over Arkansas.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up LSU's No. 21-ranked offense (37 PPG) against a Hawkeyes defense that ranks No. 11 at 18.75 PPG. The Tigers passing attack has averaged 265.08 yards per game, more than the Hawkeyes give up through the air (182.42 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Hawkeyes feature the league's No. 7-rated road run defense, allowing 100.8 yards per game. LSU, meanwhile, ranks No. 19 in rushing offense at home.