Pirates open as underdog vs Cougars
Houston Cougars vs East Carolina Pirates Odds
Houston travels to East Carolina on Saturday, hoping to boost its 4-4 mark in Week 10 action with a victory over the Pirates.
They bring a 5-4 record (5-4 ATS) to the Week 10 battle against the 4-4 Cougars, who are 3-5 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen East Carolina go 4-4 so far and the Cougars go 4-4.
Betting Line: The Cougars were listed as 2.5-point favorites on the opening NCAA football line at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. No total was available early in the week.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Pirates - Cougars odds would favor the Pirates if the lines were set according to power ranks. East Carolina is rated No. 95 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Cougars sit at No. 103. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 30-28 win for the Cougars.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up East Carolina's No. 77-ranked offense (26 PPG) against a Cougars defense that ranks No. 108 at 35.2 PPG. The Pirates passing attack has averaged 257.1 yards per game, less than the Cougars give up through the air (287.5 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Cougars own the league's No. 42-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 145 yards per game when on the road. East Carolina, on the other hand, rates No. 93 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Houston was a 45-35 winner in their most recent outing at home against Texas El Paso. They failed to cover the 14.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (80) made winners of OVER bettors. Texas El Paso was unable to contain Charles Sims in its last action Saturday and the result was a 45-35 Week 9 loss against the Cougars.
East Carolina lost its last outing, a 56-28 result against Navy on October 27. East Carolina failed to cover in that game as a 3-point favorite, while the 84 combined points took the game OVER the total. Vintavious Cooper went over the 100-yard mark (121) in his team's latest effort, but Navy still defeated East Carolina by a score of 56-28.
Houston Cougars Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 8-2
East Carolina Pirates Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 6-4
A few Cougars at Pirates trends to consider:
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing East Carolina
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
East Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing Houston
East Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston home to Tulsa, Saturday, November 10
East Carolina at Tulane, Saturday, November 17