Pirates visit Tar Heels in Week 5 NCAAF clash

East Carolina Pirates North Carolina Tar Heels
2-1 September 28, 2013, 12:30 | Kenan Stadium 1-2



Kenan Stadium will feature Tar Heels vs. Pirates on Saturday as both teams try to pay off for bettors in Week 5 action.

They battle the Pirates, currently with a 2-1 mark (1-2 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 0-3 for the Tar Heels and 1-2 for the Pirates.

View East Carolina Pirates vs North Carolina Tar Heels Odds and Stats.

On the opening line for this matchup, the Tar Heels sat as -10-point Favorite, according to 5Dimes. The total, meanwhile, had not been posted early in the week, so check the lines pages for the latest.

The Tar Heels sit at No. 43 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Pirates are at No. 55 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Pirates will win this game 32-22.

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East Carolina lost its last outing, a 15-10 result against Virginia Tech on September 14. East Carolina covered in that game as a 8-point underdog, while the 25 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up North Carolina's No. 91-ranked offense (23.33 PPG) against a Pirates defense that ranks No. 52 at 22 PPG. The Tar Heels passing attack has averaged 263 yards per game, less than the Pirates give up through the air (268.67 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Pirates own the league's No. 99-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 276 yards per game when on the road. North Carolina, on the other hand, rates No. 97 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Pirates at Tar Heels trends to consider:
East Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
East Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 9 games
East Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
North Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
North Carolina is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games
North Carolina is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home


Next up:
East Carolina at Middle Tennessee, Saturday, October 5th
North Carolina at Virginia Tech, Saturday, October 5th
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