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South Alabama Jaguars Face the Arkansas State Red Wolves: Week 11 NCAA Football Odds and Pick

South Alabama Jaguars

vs

Arkansas State Red Wolves
Saturday, November 08, 2014 3:00 PM ET
Centennial Bank Stadium

South Alabama will look to stay in the Sun Belt title race with a victory this Saturday against Arkansas State, which is also looking to keep its title hopes alive. The Jaguars took a step backwards this past Saturday in a 19-9 loss to UL-Lafayette as 7-point road underdogs that snapped a SU four-game winning streak.

The Red Wolves improved to 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games and 6-2 ATS on the year with a 44-28 victory against Idaho last Saturday as 16.5-point road favorites. They have won the last two meetings against South Alabama SU and the series is tied 1-1 ATS.

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Computer Prediction: South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Pick

Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at Odds Shark pick a 27-26 result in favor of the Red Wolves. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Odds and Stats.

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the Arkansas State Red Wolves are 5-3 overall and 6-2 ATS against the spread, while the Jaguars are 5-3 and 3-5 ATS. As for the totals, Arkansas State is 3-5 on the OU, and South Alabama is 2-6 Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Arkansas State vs South Alabama injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Arkansas State Red Wolves rated this week at No. 46 and the South Alabama Jaguars sitting at No. 42.

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How South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats Matchup

The game also pits Arkansas State's No. 48-ranked offense, averaging 32.62 PPG, against a South Alabama defense that ranks No. 24 this week at 20.75 PPG. The Arkansas State aerial game is averaging 248 yards per game, more than the South Alabama Jaguars secondary allows through the air, 203.25 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the South Alabama Jaguars own the league's No. 20-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 123.25 yards per game when on the road. Arkansas State, on the other hand, rates No. 31 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

South Alabama lost its last outing 19-9 against Louisiana-Lafayette on Saturday, getting a 116-yard receiving performance from Shavarez Smith in a losing cause at Cajun Field.

In their last game, Arkansas State got a 105-yard performance from Michael Gordon as a key part of its 44-28 win over Idaho.

South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Odds Trends

South Alabama is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
South Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of South Alabama's last 13 games
South Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 9 games
Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

South Alabama home to Texas State, Saturday, November 15th
Arkansas State home to Appalachian State, Saturday, November 15th

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