Tar Heels host Pirates in Week 4 action
East Carolina Pirates vs North Carolina Tar Heels Odds
North Carolina will look to improve on its 1-2 record this week when they host East Carolina in Week 4 action at Kenan Stadium on Saturday.
Supporters of the Pirates have seen them go 2-1 and 2-1 ATS so far this season, while the Tar Heels are at 1-2 and 1-2 ATS. In totals betting, the Tar Heels are 2-0, while the Pirates are 1-1.
Betting Line: The home team opened as 15-point favorites in this NCAA football battle. No over under line was available early in the week, but was set to posted shortly.
Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 47-rated Tar Heels and the No. 29-ranked Pirates, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 47-26 result in favor of the Tar Heels.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits North Carolina's No. 19-ranked offense, averaging 41 PPG, against a Pirates defense that ranks No. 71 this week at 25 PPG. The Tar Heels aerial game is averaging 305 yards per game, less than the Pirates secondary allows through the air, 310 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Pirates feature the league's No. 28-rated road run defense, allowing 111 yards per game. North Carolina, meanwhile, ranks No. 35 in rushing offense at home.
East Carolina was a 24-14 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Southern Miss. They covered the 7-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (38) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Pirates were Week 3 winners, coming out on top of the Golden Eagles by a score of 24-14.
Last time out for North Carolina, they were a 39-34 loser as they battled Louisville on the road. North Carolina failed to cover in the match as a 3.5-point underdog, while 73 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Bryn Renner's 363-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Louisville earned a 39-34 win over North Carolina on Saturday at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium.
East Carolina Pirates Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 3-7
North Carolina Tar Heels Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 8-2
A few Pirates at Tar Heels trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 11 of East Carolina's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games when playing North Carolina
East Carolina is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
East Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
North Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing East Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing East Carolina
North Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
East Carolina home to Texas El Paso, Saturday, September 29
North Carolina home to Idaho, Saturday, September 29