Mizzou vs Florida Betting Preview
Florida opened as a small 1.5-point road favorite over Missouri, which is coming off its biggest win in years, but it came with a price.
The Tigers stunned Georgia last week, but lost quarterback James Franklin to a shoulder injury. Backup Maty Mauk will start. Mauk played well and led two late scoring drives in the Tigers’ win over Georgia. Missouri also owns wins over Indiana and Vanderbilt and sits atop the SEC East at 2-0.
The Gators are looking to rebound from a physical loss at LSU last week. Florida features one of the nation’s elite defenses, but the offense has not held up its part of the deal.
Florida won a low-scoring 14-7 defensive battle over Missouri last season in the Swamp. Four Franklin interceptions ended Missouri’s upset hopes. The seven points were a season low for Missouri.
The Gators are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games as the favorites.
They will face the 4-2 Gators, who own a 2-4 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Tigers are 4-2 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Gators are 1-5 favoring the OVER.
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 30-rated Gators taking on the No. 31-rated Tigers in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 30-22 win for the Tigers on Saturday.
Florida lost its last outing, a 17-6 result against LSU on October 12. Florida failed to cover in that game as a 9-point underdog, while the 23 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, the Gators were Week 7 losers coming out on the wrong end of 17-6 score against LSU. L'Damian Washington hauled in 7 passes for 115 yards against the Georgia defense in the team's last game, leading Missouri over the Bulldogs 41-26 on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Missouri's No. 8-ranked offense, averaging 45.67 PPG, against a Gators defense that ranks No. 4 this week at 13 PPG. The Tigers aerial game is averaging 276.33 yards per game, more than the Gators secondary allows through the air, 152 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Gators own the league's No. 13-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 91 yards per game when on the road. Missouri, on the other hand, rates No. 22 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Gators at Tigers trends to consider:
Florida is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games
Florida is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Missouri is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Missouri is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Missouri is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida at Georgia, Saturday, November 2nd
Missouri at South Carolina, Saturday, October 26th