Florida Missouri Betting Preview
The Florida Gators, who just suffered their first defeat of this season, look to regroup when they host the Missouri Tigers Saturday afternoon (noon ET).
Florida, now 7-1 after losing a tough game to Georgia, was an early 16-point favorite over 4-4 Mizzou, which just picked up its first-ever SEC victory.
Betting Line: Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook.ag had set the Gators as 16-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was 41.5 earlier Friday at BetOnline, which was offering staggering signup bonuses on the weekend.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Gators - Tigers odds would favor the Gators if the lines were set according to power ranks. Florida is rated No. 4 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Tigers sit at No. 57. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 37-23 win for the Gators.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Florida's No. 69-ranked offense (27.5 PPG) against a Tigers defense that ranks No. 46 at 23.6 PPG. The Gators passing attack has averaged 143.6 yards per game, less than the Tigers give up through the air (195.5 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Tigers own the league's No. 33-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 136 yards per game when on the road. Florida, on the other hand, rates No. 64 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
In their last action, Missouri was a 33-10 winner at home against Kentucky. They covered the 14-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (43) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Kentucky was unable to contain Kendial Lawrence in its last action Saturday and the result was a 33-10 Week 9 loss against the Tigers.
Last time out for Florida, they were a 17-9 loser as they battled Georgia on the road. Florida failed to cover in the match as a 6.5-point favorite, while 26 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Gators suffered a Week 9 loss against Georgia in their last game, falling 17-9 at EverBank Field.
Missouri Tigers Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 5-5
Florida Gators Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 8-2
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 7-3
A few Tigers at Gators trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 6 games
Missouri is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri's last 6 games on the road
Missouri is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games
Missouri at Tennessee, Saturday, November 10
Florida home to Louisiana-Lafayette, Saturday, November 10