Tigers visit Razorbacks in Week 10 NCAAF clash
|Auburn Tigers||Arkansas Razorbacks|
In their first season under new head coach Gus Malzahn the 7-1 Auburn Tigers are back on the prowl, ranked No. 11 in this week's BCS standings.
In their first season under new head coach Bret Bielema the 3-5 Arkansas Razorbacks are struggling mightily, losing their last three games by a combined score of 134-17.
Saturday the Tigers will shoot for their fifth straight victory, while the Hogs will try to break a five-game losing streak, when the team meet in Fayetteville (6 pm ET, ESPN/ESPN2).
As of early this week Auburn, 6-2 ATS on the season, was favored by 10 points over Arkansas, which is just 2-6 ATS this season. Arkansas is just 3-14 SU since 2003 as home underdog but Auburn is just 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road. Which trend falters Saturday?
“The Razorbacks haven’t been very sharp as home dogs, winning outright just three times in 17 tries in the past decade, according to our NCAA football database. But Auburn almost never wins as road chalk, so one trend has to give here,” said Mike Pickett.
The Razorbacks currently sport a record of 3-5, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 2-6 ATS. The Tigers are 7-1 and 6-2 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Razorbacks post a 5-3 over under record this season, while the Tigers have gone 4-4 against the number.
It's a betting matchup between the No. 104-rated Razorbacks and the No. 77-ranked Tigers, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 30-16 result in favor of the Tigers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Arkansas's No. 106-ranked offense (20.38 PPG) against a Tigers defense that ranks No. 24 at 20.5 PPG. The Razorbacks passing attack has averaged 146.62 yards per game, less than the Tigers give up through the air (265.5 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Tigers feature the league's No. 71-rated road run defense, allowing 180.5 yards per game. Arkansas, meanwhile, ranks No. 20 in rushing offense at home.
A few Tigers at Razorbacks trends to consider:
Auburn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Auburn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games
Auburn is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Arkansas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Arkansas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games
Arkansas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Auburn at Tennessee, Saturday, November 9th
Arkansas at Mississippi, Saturday, November 9th