NIU vs Toledo MAC Betting Preview
The Northern Illinois Huskies crashed the BCS party last year, and they're in line to do it again this season.
At 10-0 NIU sits at No. 16 in this week's BCS standings.
This week the Huskies have a chance to clinch a spot in the MAC championship game, but it won't come easy, as they travel to Toledo for a West Division showdown with the 7-3 Rockets Wednesday night.
Most recently Northern Illinois beat Ball State 48-27, covering as eight-point favorites. The Huskies are now 7-3 ATS this season.
Toledo, meanwhile, most recently beat Buffalo 51-41, covering as six-point favorites. So the Rockets are 7-2-1 vs. the numbers this year.
At 6-0 in league play NIU leads the MAC West by one game over 5-1 Toledo. In the early betting Northern Illinois was favored by two points over the Rockets.
They battle the Huskies, currently with a 10-0 mark (7-3 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 4-6 for the Rockets and 7-3 for the Huskies.
It's a betting matchup between the No. 51-rated Rockets and the No. 18-ranked Huskies, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 49-37 result in favor of the Huskies.
Northern Illinois won its last outing, a 48-27 result against Ball State on November 13. Northern Illinois covered in that game as a 8.5-point favorite, while the 75 combined points took the game OVER the total. Kareem Hunt ran through the Buffalo defense for 186 yards in Toledo's last game, handing the Bulls a 51-41 setback on Tuesday at Glass Bowl.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Toledo's No. 34-ranked offense, averaging 35 PPG, against a Huskies defense that ranks No. 51 this week at 25.2 PPG. The Rockets aerial game is averaging 208.8 yards per game, less than the Huskies secondary allows through the air, 277.2 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Huskies feature the league's No. 40-rated road run defense, allowing 154.5 yards per game. Toledo, meanwhile, ranks No. 3 in rushing offense at home.
A few Huskies at Rockets trends to consider:
Northern Illinois is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Illinois's last 10 games
Northern Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toledo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Toledo's last 16 games
Northern Illinois home to Western Michigan, Tuesday, November 26th
Toledo at Akron, Friday, November 29th