Baylor Bears vs Texas Longhorns Odds
A key Week 8 battle has the visiting Bears travelling to Texas on Saturday to face the Longhorns.
The Bears will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 2-3 ATS against the number this season, while the Longhorns are 3-3 ATS. Baylor is 4-0 on the totals; Texas is 4-2.
Betting Line: On the opening line for this matchup, the Longhorns sat as 13-point favorites, according to 5Dimes. The total, meanwhile, had not been posted early in the week, so check the lines pages for the latest.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Longhorns, currently No. 37 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Bears, who rate No. 60 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 51-47 victory for the Longhorns.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Texas's No. 10-ranked offense (42.5 PPG) against a Bears defense that ranks No. 121 at 41.6 PPG. The Longhorns passing attack has averaged 259.2 yards per game, less than the Bears give up through the air (372.4 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Bears feature the league's No. 87-rated road run defense, allowing 206.5 yards per game. Texas, meanwhile, ranks No. 51 in rushing offense at home.
Baylor was a 49-21 loser in their most recent outing at home against TCU. They failed to cover the 6-point spread as favorites, while the total score (70) made winners of OVER bettors. Terrance Williams was good for 163 receiving yards in the Bears's most recent action, but while it helped his stats, it didn’t help his team to victory and they fell 49-21 to the Bears.
Texas was a 63-21 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Oklahoma. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (84) made winners of OVER bettors. Texas didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Sooners as Oklahoma blasted them 63-21 in Week 7 action.
Baylor Bears Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 6-4
Texas Longhorns Trends:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 4-6
A few Bears at Longhorns trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor's last 7 games on the road
Baylor is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor's last 8 games when playing Texas
Baylor is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Baylor
Texas is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Baylor
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home
Baylor at Iowa State, Saturday, October 27
Texas at Kansas, Saturday, October 27