Wildcats open as underdog vs Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats Odds
The NCAAF betting menu features a clash between Kentucky and Vanderbilt on Saturday, with the host Wildcats trying to win both for fans supporting them and bettors backing them.
This season the Wildcats are 1-8 overall and 2-7 ATS against the number, while the Commodores are 4-4 and 4-4 ATS. As for the totals, Kentucky is 5-4 on the OU, and Vanderbilt is 3-4.
Betting Line: The Wildcats were listed as 9-point underdogs at sportsbooks such as Bovada on the college football lines.
Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 87-rated Wildcats and the No. 48-rated Commodores in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 28-9 win for the Commodores on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Kentucky's No. 116-ranked offense (18.2 PPG) against a Commodores defense that ranks No. 21 at 19.2 PPG. The Wildcats passing attack has averaged 177.6 yards per game, more than the Commodores give up through the air (151 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Commodores own the league's No. 92-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 214.3 yards per game when on the road. Kentucky, on the other hand, rates No. 103 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Vanderbilt was a 49-7 winner in their most recent outing at home against Massachusetts. They covered the 33-point spread as favorites, while the total score (56) made winners of OVER bettors. Last time out, Massachusetts could not slow down Jordan Matthews, who managed 112 receiving yards in the Commodores 49-7 victory over the Minutemen Saturday.
Kentucky lost its last outing, a 33-10 result against Missouri on October 27. Kentucky failed to cover in that game as a 14-point underdog, while the 43 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Kentucky was hammered in its last outing, as Missouri ran up a 33-10 score against them at Memorial Stadium.
Vanderbilt Commodores Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 3-7
Kentucky Wildcats Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 2-8
A few Commodores at Wildcats trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 7 games when playing Kentucky
Vanderbilt is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Vanderbilt's last 24 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
Kentucky is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 7 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 6 games
Vanderbilt at Mississippi, Saturday, November 10
Kentucky home to Samford, Saturday, November 17