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LSU vs Kentucky Football Preview

The LSU Tigers host the Kentucky Wildcats in what should amount to a tune-up game for the red-hot Tigers.

LSU is 4-0 SU and ATS with three wins over ranked opponents this season, while Kentucky is 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS with two straight ugly losses at home.

LSU cornerback Tyrann Mathieu had an interception and a forced fumble in last week’s win over West Virginia.

View Kentucky vs LSU Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Several shops tracked by OddsShark set the point spread at 28 in favor of the home side. NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).

Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 17-rated Tigers and the No. 111-rated Wildcats in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 48-18 win for the Tigers on Saturday.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up LSU's No. 18-ranked offense (38.8 PPG) against a Wildcats defense that ranks No. 46 at 22 PPG. The Tigers passing attack has averaged 179 yards per game, more than the Wildcats give up through the air (162.2 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Wildcats feature the league's No. 51-rated road run defense, allowing 141 yards per game. LSU, meanwhile, ranks No. 57 in rushing offense at home.

Kentucky was a 48-10 loser in their most recent outing at home against Florida. They failed to cover the 17.5–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (58) made winners of OVER bettors.

Last time out for LSU, they were a 47-21 winner as they battled West Virginia on the road. LSU covered in the match as a 5.5-point favorite, while 68 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Kentucky Wildcats Trends:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 2-8

LSU Tigers Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 8-2

 

A few Wildcats at Tigers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 6 games
Kentucky is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Kentucky is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LSU
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU's last 5 games at home
LSU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky

Next up:
Kentucky at South Carolina, Saturday, October 8
LSU home to Florida, Saturday, October 8

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