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March Madness Seeds: 7 vs 10

The difference between a No. 10 seed and a No. 7 seed is often very small and a spot in the March Madness bracket where you can usually find some good pick and betting value.

Those No. 10 seeds had been money makers recently at the sportsbooks, going 11-5 against the spread and 9-7 straight-up in the four NCAA Tournaments from 2009 through 2012. However, the No. 7 seeds have rebounded over the past three years, winning eight of 12 games and going 8-3-1 ATS at the payout window.

This bracket position will typically see fading teams from power conferences that struggled down the stretch against surging Mid-Majors, which can result in a dangerous matchup for the higher seed. While that may not have exactly been the case last year when the buzzer finally sounded in three of the four games that saw the No. 7 seed advance, digging a little deeper tells a slightly different story.

Just one of the three No. 7 seeds in 2015 that won in the first round saw its game end in a blowout, with Iowa routing Davidson 83-52 as 2.5-point favorites. One No.7 seed closed as an underdog last year, with VCU losing to Ohio State, but the Rams covered their +3.5 closing spread. Wichita State and Michigan State both won as the No.7 seed in 2015, but the Shockers failed to cover as they only beat Indiana by five points.

Michigan State would go on to make the Final Four last season, just the second No.7 seed to do so after UConn accomplished the feat two years ago. A No. 10 seed has never made it to the Final Four, with seven teams making it as far as the Elite Eight. Davidson was the last No. 10 seed to make it to the Elite Eight in 2008, suffering a tough 59-57 loss to No. 1 seed Kansas despite a tremendous NCAA Tournament run by star guard Stephen Curry, who became a first-round draft pick by the Golden State Warriors the next year.

Seed vs Seed Stats: 1 vs 16 | 2 vs 15 | 3 vs 14 | 4 vs 13 | 5 vs 12 | 6 vs 11 | 7 vs 10 | 8 vs 9

#7 Seed vs #10 Seed
#7 SeedScore#10 SeedScoreDateATS WinWin SeedATS Seed
Wichita State81Indiana762015-03-20Indiana710
Michigan State70Georgia632015-03-20Michigan State77
Iowa83Davidson522015-03-20Iowa77
VCU72Ohio State752015-03-19VCU107
New Mexico53Stanford582014-03-21Stanford1010
Texas87Arizona State852014-03-20Push7 
Connecticut89Saint Joseph's812014-03-20Connecticut77
Oregon87BYU682014-03-20Oregon77
Notre Dame58Iowa State762013-03-22Iowa State1010
San Diego State70Oklahoma552013-03-22San Diego State77
Illinois57Colorado492013-03-22Illinois77
Creighton67Cincinnati632013-03-22Creighton77
Notre Dame63Xavier672012-03-16Xavier1010
St. Mary's69Purdue722012-03-16Purdue1010
Florida71Virginia452012-03-16Florida77
Gonzaga77West Virginia542012-03-15Gonzaga77
Washington68Georgia652011-03-18Georgia710
Texas A&M50Florida State572011-03-18Florida State1010
UCLA78Michigan State762011-03-17UCLA77
Temple66Penn State642011-03-17Penn State710
Oklahoma State59Georgia Tech642010-03-19Georgia Tech1010
Clemson78Missouri862010-03-19Missouri1010
Richmond71St. Mary's802010-03-18St. Mary's1010
BYU99Florida922010-03-18BYU77
Boston College55USC722009-03-20USC1010
Clemson59Michigan622009-03-19Michigan1010
Texas76Minnesota622009-03-19Texas77
California71Maryland842009-03-19Maryland1010
Butler81South Alabama612008-03-21Butler77
Miami78St. Mary's642008-03-21Miami77
Gonzaga76Davidson822008-03-21Davidson1010
West Virginia75Arizona652008-03-20West Virginia77
Nevada77Creighton712007-03-16Nevada77
UNLV67Georgia Tech632007-03-16UNLV77
Indiana70Gonzaga572007-03-15Indiana77
Boston College84Texas Tech752007-03-15Boston College77
California52North Carolina State582006-03-17North Carolina State1010
Georgetown54Northern Iowa492006-03-17Georgetown77
Marquette85Alabama902006-03-16Alabama1010
Wichita State86Seton Hall662006-03-16Wichita State77
Southern Illinois65St. Mary's562005-03-18Southern Illinois77
Charlotte63North Carolina State752005-03-18North Carolina State1010
West Virginia63Creighton612005-03-17West Virginia77
Cincinnati76Iowa642005-03-17Cincinnati77
Xavier80Louisville702004-03-19Xavier77
Memphis59South Carolina432004-03-19Memphis77
DePaul76Dayton692004-03-18DePaul77
Michigan State66Nevada722004-03-18Nevada1010
Saint Joseph's63Auburn652003-03-21Auburn1010
Indiana67Alabama622003-03-21Indiana77
Michigan State79Colorado642003-03-21Michigan State77
Memphis71Arizona State842003-03-20Arizona State1010
Xavier70Hawaii582002-03-15Xavier77
North Carolina State69Michigan State582002-03-15North Carolina State77
Oklahoma State61Kent State692002-03-14Kent State1010
Wake Forest83Pepperdine742002-03-14Wake Forest77
Wake Forest63Butler792001-03-16Butler1010
Penn State69Providence592001-03-16Penn State77
Iowa69Creighton562001-03-15Iowa77
Arkansas61Georgetown632001-03-15Georgetown1010
Oregon71Seton Hall722000-03-17Seton Hall1010
Tulsa89UNLV622000-03-17Tulsa77
Louisville66Gonzaga772000-03-16Gonzaga1010
Auburn72Creighton692000-03-16Auburn77
Texas54Purdue581999-03-12Purdue1010
Washington58Miami (Ohio)591999-03-12Miami (Ohio)1010
Louisville58Creighton621999-03-11Creighton1010
Minnesota63Gonzaga751999-03-11Gonzaga1010
St. John's64Detroit661998-03-13Detroit1010
Massachusetts46Saint Louis511998-03-13Saint Louis1010
Temple52West Virginia821998-03-12West Virginia1010
Indiana94Oklahoma871998-03-12Indiana77
Marquette59Providence811997-03-14Push10 
Charlotte79Georgetown671997-03-14Charlotte77
Texas71Wisconsin581997-03-14Texas77
Xavier80Vanderbilt681997-03-13Xavier77
Temple61Oklahoma431996-03-15Temple77
New Mexico69Kansas State481996-03-15New Mexico77
Maryland79Santa Clara911996-03-15Santa Clara1010
Michigan76Texas801996-03-15Texas1010

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