The No. 4 pound-for-pound boxer in the world according to ESPN’s rankings, Canelo Alvarez is making a quick turnaround since his loss to Dmitry Bivol in early May as he concludes his heated trilogy with Gennady Golovkin in September. The Sportsbook will be crowned the undisputed super middleweight champion as Canelo lays his four major titles on the line.
Canelo vs GGG III will take place on September 17 and can be seen on DAZN PPV under Matchroom Boxing Promotions.
See boxing odds and other betting markets at Sportsbook:
Canelo vs GGG 3 Odds
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released a look at the Canelo vs Golovkin odds and Alvarez is set as the -500 favorite with GGG coming back as a +395 underdog.
Odds as of September 16 at Sportsbook
The current Canelo vs GGG betting odds mean that you would have to lay $500 to profit $100 if Alvarez is to win while a $100 winning wager on Golovkin would net you $395.
Our sports betting calculator tells us that Alvarez’s odds translate to an implied win probability of 83.33 percent while GGG’s line represents an implied win probability of 20.20 percent.
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Canelo vs GGG 3 Fight Time
Canelo vs GGG Odds Analysis
We are seeing quite a shift in the odds from the first time this fight was proposed over two years ago. Then, Canelo was set as the -260 chalk and Golovkin the +200 underdog option.
This would mark the first time that GGG will be listed as a betting underdog in a fight that odds have been made available for, including the first two fights of this trilogy. The swing in the odds can be attributed to the lack of competition Golovkin has faced and moving up to a larger weight class in which Canelo has dominated over that span.
Meanwhile, this would be the first time that Alvarez has been a favorite of -500 or longer since the last time he fought GGG, when he was a +180 underdog.
This also marks the first time that Canelo is coming off a defeat since he fell to Floyd Mayweather in 2013, losing by a majority decision. Alvarez took a unanimous-decision loss to Dmitry Bivol on Cinco de Mayo weekend in his second trip to light heavyweight.
What Has Happened In Between The Rematch & Trilogy
Golovkin has been fairly inactive since his majority-decision loss in 2018, competing just four times but scoring three knockouts. You can argue that the strength of schedule wasn’t outstanding but a win is a win.
Meanwhile, Canelo has stepped into the squared circle eight times since his rematch with GGG, becoming the undisputed super middleweight champ, while also jumping up to light heavyweight twice. He split those fights at 175, knocking out Sergey Kovalev but losing to Dmitry Bivol in May.
|April 9, 2022
|TKO 9 (12)
|Dec. 18, 2020
|RTD 7 (12)
|Oct. 5, 2019
|June 8, 2019
|KO 4 (12)
|May 7, 2022
|Nov. 6, 2021
|TKO 11 (12)
|May 8, 2021
|Billy Joe Saunders
|RTD 8 (12)
|Feb. 27, 2021
|RTD 3 (12)
|Dec. 19, 2020
|Nov. 2, 2019
|KO 11 (12)
|May 4, 2019
|Dec. 15, 2018
|TKO 3 (12)
GGG vs Canelo 3 Betting Preview
Since the second meeting between these competitors, Canelo has scored seven wins, including a knockout victory at light heavyweight against Sergey Kovalev, while also becoming the undisputed super middleweight champion. All of those titles will be on the line for this fight.
As for GGG, he’s rattled off four victories since his last encounter with Canelo, with three of them being knockouts, including stopping Ryota Murata in April of this year to now own three middleweight world titles.
Golovkin Has To Protect The Body
If anyone has ever watched a Canelo Alvarez bout, you know that he is tremendous at working in the pocket, softening up the body with vicious bodywork that will either stop the fight or drop his opponent’s hands to open up the head shots.
This will be a point of defense that GGG must be careful with as he has been targeted to the body in his more recent bouts, which appeared to cause some fatigue, though his devastating jab creates space and allows him to set up his heavy hands. Those hands have led to 37 of his 42 wins ending by way of knockout.
Age could be the deciding factor in terms of conditioning as these two warriors meet for a third time. GGG will be 40 when they step in the ring, while Canelo will be 32.
Although the first two bouts between the two were close, I think Canelo wins decisively in the trilogy.
Prediction: Canelo Alvarez via KO/TKO/DQ (+150)
Canelo vs GGG Trilogy Recap
GGG vs Canelo 1st Fight: Byrd Brain Judges
The first fight was just as many expected when GGG and Canelo stepped into the ring. As Golovkin pushed the pace, landing constant heavy jabs, Alvarez used his footwork and counters to do damage.
Golovkin looked like he had taken the majority of rounds and appeared to be the more dominant fighter, despite a late push put on by Alvarez.
Although the two boxers put on a tremendous display for the fans, it was the judges who stole the show on the night of September 16, 2017.
The individuals who held the fate of the fight in their hands were simply oblivious to what was going on in the ring and were all over the place in their decisions.
One judge scored the fight 115-113 for GGG, another scored it a 114-114 draw – both respectable decisions considering it was a close fight – and then comes Adalaide Byrd.
Byrd scored the fight 118-110 for Canelo, making it a draw. Fans everywhere were incensed and a rematch was necessary.
GGG vs Canelo 2: Alvarez Gets The Win
Golovkin and Alvarez were set to do it again on Cinco de Mayo in 2018 but Canelo was caught taking a performance enhancer called Clenbuterol, although he claims it came from tainted meat. So, the fight was then postponed until September, two days shy of a year removed from the first bout.
Canelo had a much different game plan in the rematch, being much more the aggressor and forcing GGG to fight moving backward. Both fighters stood toe to toe landing and absorbing ferocious shots.
The gladiators finished the fight bloodied and battered, while fans held their breath for the upcoming decision. Once again, the general public saw this as a narrow GGG victory or a draw, but the judges saw it another way.
One judge scored it a 114-114 draw, while the remaining two judges scored it 115-113 for a majority-decision win for Canelo, with it all coming down to the 12th round. With another close bout, it seems we were destined for the trilogy.