It wasn’t that long ago that rumors swirled of Paul vs Silva. But at the time, we were talking about Logan Paul and former UFC middleweight champion Anderson Silva. Now, it’s baby brother’s fight to have as Jake Paul vs Anderson Silva will take place October 29.
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An early Jake Paul vs Anderson Silva line had the UFC Hall of Famer as the betting chalk, but that flipped rather quickly, and now “The Problem Child” is a moderate favorite.
You can see boxing odds and other betting markets at Sportsbook.
Jake Paul vs Anderson Silva Odds
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released the Paul vs Silva odds with Paul listed as the -174 favorite and Anderson the +137 underdog. These odds mean that if you were to bet $10 on the favorite, you would win $15.75 (your original $10 bet and a profit of $5.75). Of course, betting on the ex-UFC star is more lucrative with a $10 bet returning a profit of $13.70.
Odds as of October 25 at Sportsbook
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Paul vs Silva Odds Analysis
Jake “The Problem Child” Paul has been the betting favorite in each of his previous five professional bouts. He didn’t give bettors the opportunity to cash against him as his hand was raised in each of those fights. Four of his wins have come by knockout, including the knockout of the year over Tyron Woodley last December.
Silva Producing In The Squared Circle
The end of Anderson “The Spider” Silva’s UFC career didn’t exactly go as planned after he lost his middleweight title to Chris Weidman at UFC 162 in 2013. That loss was part of a 1-7 run with one no contest, culminating in his departure from the sport. Since then, the UFC great has had two professional boxing matches and one unscored exhibition.
He won both his pro bouts over that span, cashing as a +450 dog when he went to Mexico and beat former champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., and knocking out fellow UFC star Tito Ortiz – though he was the -1200 chalk in that one.
Can The Problem Child Finish Another UFC Fighter?
This will be the fourth fight in a row for Paul against a former UFC fighter. He knocked out former Olympian Ben Askren and followed that up with two fights against former UFC middleweight champion Tyron Woodley, the rematch ending in that knockout seen above.
There’s no denying that Paul has exceptional punching power and if he finds his target, the fight is likely over. That said, both of those previous opponents fought at the welterweight class in the UFC, which is 170 pounds, while Silva was the middleweight champ (185 pounds) and had fights at light heavyweight (205 pounds).
This could be the first time that Paul won’t have a significant size advantage and he will have a reach disadvantage of an inch and a half. The 27-year-old is going to have to use his youth and his speed to put the veteran in danger.
And, by all accounts, Paul is looking loose. He and Silva flashed some sweet dance moves ahead of their bout Saturday.
What Traps Will The Spider Lay To Earn The Victory?
There are a lot of reasons why the 47-year-old UFC Hall of Famer was originally set as the betting chalk. None are more pronounced than his elite fight IQ and elusiveness. Silva was exceptional at reading his opponents’ tendencies, making changes on the fly and then going on the attack with his terrific finishing power.
The Spider had what many combat sports pundits call “good eyes” in that he knew the range of his opponents, knew when he was in danger and when he wasn’t, but also had great head and upper body movement to avoid punches coming back. That said, in his later years, those reflexes have slowed and the losses have piled up. Can he turn back time and pick up his fourth straight boxing win – and a victory over an in-shape and focused up-and-comer?
Jake Paul vs Anderson Silva Pick
While my heart is pulling for the Spider, I think the correct pick is the Problem Child. If Paul is able to get Silva working early and often, moving backward and wearing on him in clinch situations, he has the opportunity to win the later rounds and perhaps earn a stoppage.
The danger lies early when the Spider is fresh. If there are any tendencies in the younger boxer, that’s when they will be identified and capitalized upon. Fun fight – I’m picking Paul to continue his reign of terror.