Jake Paul (5-0) and Hasim Rahman Jr. (12-1) might square off later this summer in yet another thrilling eight-round fight at cruiserweight. I say “might” because there’s an ongoing contract dispute with the late-replacement Rahman.
JAKE PAUL KNOCKS OUT TYRON WOODLEY.— The Athletic (@TheAthletic) December 19, 2021
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Coming off the 2021 Knockout of the Year over former UFC champion Tyron Woodley, Paul has shown his chops as a legitimate power puncher, which is why Sportsbook has him listed as the -240 favorite in the Paul vs Rahman odds.
The YouTube star was originally scheduled to face Tommy Fury, but the British boxer pulled out after visa issues prevented him from entering the United States.
After that disappointing development, Rahman Jr., the son of two-time world heavyweight champion boxer Hasim Rahman, stepped in a few weeks later.
The Paul vs Rahman odds are set, with the bout scheduled for August 6 at Madison Square Garden. Fight fans will be able to watch the pay-per-view event on Showtime.
Sportsbook has you covered for all the Paul vs Rahman betting odds. As it stands, “The Problem Child” is the -240 favorite, while “Gold Blooded” enters as the +190 underdog.
That means sports bettors backing Paul must wager $100 for a prospective $141.67 payout, while a successful $100 bet on Rahman would pay out $290.
Paul vs Rahman Odds
|Hasim Rahman Jr.||+190|
Odds as of July 13 at Sportsbook
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A closer look at the Paul vs Rahman odds using our sports betting calculator tells us Paul’s -240 odds translate to an implied win probability of 70.59 percent. Rahman’s +190 odds suggest he has a 34.48 percent implied chance of winning the bout.
Looking to place a bet on this must-see boxing event? Check out our How To Bet On Boxing guide, which gives you everything you need to know to place wagers on the ol’ sport of pugilism. In addition, our Boxing Odds page can help you stay connected with all the most up-to-date betting lines.
Jake Paul vs Hasim Rahman Jr. Odds Analysis
The sportsbooks liked Paul in his 2021 rematch against Woodley, setting the 25-year-old as a -245 favorite. Paul delivered in a big way, keeping composed and eventually cracking his then-39-year-old opponent with a finishing blow. There’s more respect on Paul’s name right now, earning him the rightful -240 chalk for his upcoming bout.
By taking the fight on just a month’s notice, Rahman is already disadvantaged, though his +190 underdog status comes mostly as a product of the skill gap between him and Paul in the ring.
Gold Blooded has been fighting professionally a touch longer than Paul but hasn’t flashed as much potential. Rahman lost by fifth-round TKO to Kenzie Morrison in his last bout, in which he was a slight +100 underdog.
Jake Paul vs Hasim Rahman Jr. Preview: Patience & Power On Favorite’s Side
Unlike other young, inexperienced fighters, Paul possesses an excellent fight IQ. He doesn’t chase knockouts or load up on overhand bombs that leave him exposed to deadly counterpunches. Instead, the Cleveland native works methodically, establishing the body with repeated shots to the midsection.
That patient strategy paid off in his second showdown with Woodley, when he feinted to the body and threw a massive right hook that resulted in one of the most outrageous knockouts of the year.
No one had ever shut the lights out on Woodley as Paul did in that sixth round. He has legit power, which, in combination with his awareness in the ring, makes him very dangerous.
Can Rahman Compete For Eight Rounds?
Rahman started out steady in his last bout vs Morrison, but his technique gradually tailed off as the fight carried through the middle rounds. By the fourth, the six-foot-three fighter’s posture worsened, while his hands dropped as he ate heavy shots to the head.
Credit to the 31-year-old, who kept firing back with straight shots, though Morrison eventually clipped him with a lunging right hand that led to the TKO seconds later.
Paul showed off extreme spurts of explosiveness in his previous bouts, making this a potentially one-sided matchup if Rahman hasn’t improved his gas tank.
Jake Paul vs Hasim Rahman Jr. Pick
While this fight should be more competitive than The Problem Child’s last couple of matches, the physical signs — and the Paul vs Rahman odds — are pointing toward another victory. Paul has now logged enough time in the ring to be considered a legitimate boxer, while also developing faster than Rahman in their two comparable careers.
Paul is younger by six years, but he’s the smarter, faster fighter, he’s in excellent shape, and if he waits for his moment, this fight could end with some fisticuff fireworks, leaving Rahman strewn on the canvas.