Jake Paul will box Tommy Fury on February 25

Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury Odds & Prediction: Can Fury Silence The YouTuber?

Here we go again. 

Jake Paul and Tommy Fury, two of the biggest names in boxing, are slated to fight on February 26. The third attempt of this Paul vs Fury bout will be eight rounds and take place in Diriyah, Saudi Arabia. 

The two were originally supposed to fight in December 2021 but Fury pulled out a couple of weeks before the event, which led to Jake Paul vs Tyron Woodley 2. Of course, that bout ended in a highlight-reel knockout win for Jake. Then, the two were supposed to tangle in August 2022 but Fury backed out again, setting Paul up for a bout with MMA legend Anderson Silva. Again, Paul showed his mettle with a unanimous-decision win.

Paul vs Fury Odds

The Paul vs Fury odds are out, with “The Problem Child” currently a -125 favorite. Fury, the younger brother of heavyweight champ Tyson Fury, is a +110 underdog.

Jake Paul-125
Tommy Fury+110

Odds as of February 23

Our odds calculator tells us Paul’s -138 status represents an implied win probability of 55.56 percent, meaning a $10 bet pays out $18. Fury’s +110 status gives him an implied win probability of 47.62 percent, which means a $10 bet on him pays out $21. 

Check out our How to Bet Boxing guide to help you place a Paul vs Fury bet. Quite simply, if you’re looking for the Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury betting news, we have you covered.

Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury Betting Odds Analysis

Once again, to beat a dead horse, this is the first time The Problem Child is taking on a true, trained boxer (Silva isn’t a boxer by trade). Yet, Paul is still moderately chalked.

The line is moving toward Fury. Two weeks ago, the Englishman was a steeper +135 underdog. Now he’s at +110. Paul, conversely, has moved to -138. I see lots of value on Paul’s end. 

Tightest Betting Odds For Fury

Also known as a bit of a celebrity with his appearance on Love Island, Tommy “TNT” Fury lays his undefeated boxing record on the line. The 23-year-old is 8-0 and has been chalk of -1200 or greater in the five fights that odds were available for. It can be argued as well that this is TNT’s toughest bout so far. He should be scared of fighting Paul. 

Tommy Fury vs Jake Paul Preview

Say what you will about the celebrity boxing world we have been witness to for the past two years or so, but Paul knows how to box. Is he a future champ? Unlikely. But can he hold his own in the squared circle? Most definitely.

The YouTuber has a great jab, decent head movement and works the body effectively before targeting the head. At times, he can get a little overexcited and lunge toward his opponent, which opens him up for big counters. However, he absorbed a big shot from Woodley in their first encounter and managed to survive that moment. Silva stung him a few times in his latest fight, too, but Paul never looked threatened. 

Fury Needs To Fight Long

This is the first time that Paul will be at a reach disadvantage as TNT has an 80-inch reach, four inches longer than Paul’s. Typically, a boxer will know how to use that effectively and keep distance, while landing heavy when their opponent tries to enter the pocket.

Fury doesn’t have tremendous hand speed and doesn’t do a great job setting up his punches. That said, his step-in uppercut and his hooks inside are sharp and accurate, though his defense can be a little lax in those moments.

Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury Pick

One of the biggest factors for me in this bout is its length. It is an eight-round bout, and Fury has only done four rounds in the past. In those four-round fights, he has slowed and it appeared as though his punches were labored, which could be a huge concern as we reach rounds 6, 7 and 8.

I do think that Fury will have some early success, especially when Paul spears to the body, which he does so often – TNT will likely catch him with a few uppercuts. However, as the fight progresses, I think the momentum will swing in The Problem Child’s direction. When this switch happens could determine whose hand gets raised.

Prediction: Jake Paul (-125) to win; Fight To Go The Distance (-110)