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Jermall Charlo vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko Betting Odds & Prediction

Jermall Charlo vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko Betting Odds

Showtime and PBC Boxing have put together a huge boxing event that will take place this Saturday, September 26, with Jermall Charlo colliding with Sergiy Derevyanchenko for the WBC middleweight title in the main event. 

Charlo, the undefeated 30-0 champion, is the -185 favorite at Bovada to make his fourth successful title defense, while Derevyanchenko, a three-time title challenger who’s 13-2, comes back as a +150 underdog in the main event's betting odds.

This means you would have to wager $185 to profit $100 with a Charlo win, while a $100 bet on the challenger would profit you $150. You can calculate all your potential winnings with our sports betting calculator.

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Jermall Charlo vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko Betting Odds

FighterOdds
Jermall Charlo-185
Sergiy Derevyanchenko+150

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Jermall Charlo vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko Odds Analysis

Since moving up from junior middleweight to middleweight and claiming the WBC title, Jermall “Hitman” Charlo has had a bit of a one-sided path, having closed as a favorite of -1250 or greater in all five of his middleweight bouts.

In fact, his -185 line will be his tightest since he fought Julian Williams in 2016 when he was a -140 favorite. He won that fight via fifth-round knockout to retain his IBF junior middleweight strap.

Meanwhile, being an underdog is nothing new for Sergiy “The Technician” Derevyanchenko, who has closed as a dog in two of his last three bouts, though he is looking for a more favorable outcome this time around.

Derevyanchenko lost both of those title fights as an underdog, the first via split decision to Daniel Jacobs in 2018 and the second via unanimous decision to Gennady Golovkin last October. His odds are better than they were for either of those bouts.

Jermall Charlo vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko Preview & Prediction

Charlo will have the reach advantage, which is usual with a 73.5-inch reach, and he uses it extremely effectively with a stiff left jab. He pumps his jab out frequently to stop his opponent from advancing or to set up his heavier right hand, which he likes to use to put his opponent on the canvas, with 22 knockout victories on his record.

At times, he can get excited and overreach on his punches, which can leave him off balance. He’s most effective when he stays within himself. Additionally, he sometimes will load up on his punches, which opens areas for counters. If his opponent can avoid his punishing jab, there are often plenty of opportunities to get on the inside and do work.

Derevyanchenko is a notoriously slow starter. That was apparent against Jacobs and when he was knocked down in the opening round and cut in the second round against GGG. He has extremely fast feet that allow him to close distance and get on the inside, where he loves to go to the body. This approach of putting money in the bank could be the reason he’s a slow starter. Those body shots add up and in the later rounds he picks up the pace.

The Technician has a good crisp jab that he will double and triple up before firing his right hand, looking for the knockout or ripping the body again. One of my favorite things to see in a Derevyanchenko fight – something we see in his countryman Vasyl Lomachenko – is his lateral movement that creates angles and space to work combinations.

Prediction: Sergiy Derevyanchenko (+150) via decision