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Tony Finau is favored in the 3M Open Odds

The final major championship of the season is officially in the books as Cameron Smith raised the Claret Jug at the Old Course at St. Andrews. The Australian was able to track down Rory McIlroy and Viktor Hovland after beginning the last round four strokes off the 54-hole pace set by the two Europeans.

Smith has pushed his name into the Player of the Year conversation after his win and will look to battle Scottie Scheffler for the title in the upcoming weeks.

Smith, however, will not be in the field this week for the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities as he was a participant in both events in Scotland. In fact, most of the premier players in the game have chosen to take this week off as they are well-positioned in the FedExCup standings and feel no need to add the 3M Open to their playing schedule.

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As such, it is Tony Finau who is the favorite to win the 3M Open. The American was experiencing a strong summer that included a top-five finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge and runner-up results at the Mexico Open and the RBC Canadian Open. Unfortunately, Finau fell flat in Scotland and was unable to contend at The Open despite being a popular pick due to his form and previous record on links golf courses.

The former Ryder Cup participant is listed at +1500 at Bovada to win the 3M Open. Finau has participated at this tournament in the past and has never finished worse than T-28 and also finished on the podium in 2020.

According to our odds calculator, Finau has a 6.25 percent chance to win his first tournament on the PGA Tour this season as he has been shut out for nearly a year now. Hoping to keep him on the schneid is former Masters winner Hideki Matsuyama and multiple-time PGA Tour winner Sungjae Im, who are among the favorites to be victorious at the 3M Open.

2022 3M Open Betting Odds

Odds To Win The 2022 3M Open
Tony Finau+1500
Hideki Matsuyama+1700
Sungjae Im+1900
Davis Riley+2000
Sahith Theegala+2000
Cameron Davis+2200
Maverick McNealy+2200
Adam Hadwin+2500
Cameron Tringale+2800
Joohyung Kim+2800
Adam Svensson+3000
Adam Long+3300
Brendan Steele+3300
J.T. Poston+3500
Chris Gotterup+4000
Nick Hardy+4000

Odds as of July 19 at Bovada

2022 3M Open Picks

Sungjae Im To Win +1900

The two-time winner on the PGA Tour is among the upper echelon of players in this field, yet his odds do not suggest this. Im’s price is attractive given his upside to win golf tournaments as well as his driving prowess, which will allow him to thrive from the middle of the fairway.

The South Korean has recently fallen on some tough times as he missed the cut at the Scottish Open and played poorly at The Open. Previously, he was among the most consistent players on the PGA Tour. At one point this season, the 24-year-old connected on five straight top-21 finishes, including strong outings at the Memorial Tournament, Charles Schwab Challenge and the Masters Championship.

During this stretch, Im was averaging nearly four strokes gained on approach and another three off the tee. If able to match that statistical output, he will make noise at the 3M Open as he did in his 2019 debut that resulted in a T-15 finish.

Brendan Steele To Win +3300

The 39-year-old is sneakily having a fantastic season and the 3M Open could be a great spot for him to reenter the winner’s circle. Steele has now rattled off three straight top-25 finishes with his latest coming at the Travelers Championship. Before his play in Cromwell, he had connected on back-to-back top-10 results at the Memorial Tournament and the PGA Championship.

Steele had posted +1.93 strokes gained approach per round at Southern Hills, +1.43 strokes gained approach per round at Muirfield Village and +1.39 strokes gained approach per round at TPC River Highlands. With his irons in tune, he will be faced with many scoring opportunities as his driver has been almost just as good.

In this same stretch, Steele is averaging about four strokes gained off the tee per tournament. This combination of ball striking has the potential to propel him in this type of environment. Where both low scores and high scores are present, he has the tee-to-green game to successfully navigate his way around TPC Twin Cities.

Matthew NeSmith To Win +5000

NeSmith is coming off a missed cut at the Scottish Open, but that outing serves as an outlier as the former South Carolina Gamecock was terrific before traveling overseas. NeSmith had connected on eight straight cuts, including a T-4 finish at the Zurich Classic and most recently a T-19 effort at the Travelers Championship.

With TPC Twin Cities demanding excellence both off the tee and on approach, there may be no better player in the field in this regard than NeSmith. He is both long and straight off the tee and has the approach play to back it up.

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He has gained strokes off the tee in every start since the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and posted +1.67 strokes gained approach per round in his last tournament in the United States. While his course history is poor, his ball-striking gives him inherent upside to contend at the 3M Open.

Joohyung Kim To Win +28000 

The 20-year-old has quickly ascended to the world No. 40 with his play on the Asian Tour and the PGA Tour. Just recently, Kim was given a special exemption onto the PGA Tour for the remainder of the season and will need to secure his status for next year through strong play to wrap up his summer. If he can continue the current stretch he is on, there is nothing to suggest he will not accomplish that.

Kim is coming off a third-place finish at the Scottish Open and a top-50 result at The Open. Before his play in Scotland, the young South Korean finished inside the top 25 at the U.S. Open as well. The beautiful thing about Kim’s game is he performs adequately in each aspect and does not rely too much on his irons, putter, etc.

He is a proven winner as shown by his play on the Asian Tour and could play the role of Mito Pereira from last season. The Chilean ran through the PGA Tour and Kim has the game and potential to follow in his footsteps, starting at the 3M Open.

C.T. Pan To Win +6000

This is the time last season Pan began to catch fire as he finished with the bronze medal at the Olympic Games. He is coming into this year’s 3M Open with a bit of momentum, having finished T-24 at the John Deere Classic. Pan posted +1.03 strokes gained approach per round, continuing his strong iron play on the season.

Outside of the Travelers Championship where he missed the cut, Pan has been terrific since the Genesis Invitational. He consistently finds the middle of the fairway and because of this he is able to attack accessible pin locations with his irons. The putter is beginning to heat up and given how well-rounded his game is, Pan makes for a strong outright selection for the 3M Open.

TPC Twin Cities Course & 3M Tournament Information

TPC Twin Cities presents a difficult challenge for some players, but is also an easy course for the others. The reason for the disparity in scores around the Arnold Palmer design is the amount of water in play. Water hazards are present on 14 of 18 holes and as such, those players who consistently find the fairway immediately have a leg up on those who tend to be wild.

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Playing to a par 71, TPC Twin Cities measures just north of 7,400 yards and will force players to rely on their ball-striking and putting. Most of the approach shots will come from roughly 175 to 200 yards in addition to a heavy dose of wedge shots ranging from 75 to 125 yards.

Considering the games of past champions Cameron Champ, Michael Thompson and Matthew Wolff, it is clear distance will also be an added benefit. The ideal player for TPC Twin Cities will possess both distance and accuracy off the tee, proficient iron play and the capability to run the table on the greens.

What Happened In The 2021 3M Open?

The 3M Open fell in a precarious spot on the playing calendar as it preceded the 2021 Olympic Games in Tokyo. As such, the field was rather similar to this season as players had their attention turned to other events. This did not stop the 3M Open from experiencing a dramatic finish with a number of big names vying for the title.

Heading into the final round, numerous competitors had an opportunity to enter the winner’s circle. Major champions Gary Woodland, Charl Schwartzel and Louis Oosthuizen were all in contention as well as the likes of Jhonattan Vegas, Ryan Armour and Chez Reavie, who won just last weekend at the Barracuda Championship.

From the crowd, Cameron Champ emerged as an unlikely winner as he had experienced a somewhat disappointing 2021 up to that point. Champ utilized a beautiful blend of distance and accuracy off the tee and was able to walk away from TPC Twin Cities with his third victory of his PGA Tour career.

Champ ultimately won by two strokes and ranked 26th in strokes gained tee to green, 40th in strokes gained off the tee, 19th in strokes gained approach, 48th in strokes gained around the green and, most importantly, first in strokes gained putting en route to his winning score of 15 under.