Brendan Allen is favored vs Paul Craig

Allen vs Craig Odds & Picks: Can 'All In' Secure Another Submission?

Brendan Allen fights Paul Craig this Saturday in a UFC Fight Night Event. This bout is a heat check for Allen, who is currently riding a five-fight win streak.

The card takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, with prelims beginning at 2 p.m. ET.

Brendan Allen vs Paul Craig Odds

Allen vs Craig Odds
Brendan Allen-334
Paul Craig+250

Odds as of Nov. 13

Per our odds calculator, a $100 bet on Allen's -334 odds (76.96% implied chance) pays out $129.94. The same $100 on Craig at +250 (28.57% implied chance) pays out $350.

How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Craig

  • Date/Time: November 18, 2 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex
  • Where to Watch: ESPN, Cable Provider

How To Bet Allen vs Craig

I'm not especially fond of these odds, even if Allen vs Craig is a mismatch on paper. "All In" is fighting better than he ever has in his extensive MMA career, but does he deserve -300 status over a veteran such as Craig? I'm not sure. To me, Allen is more worthy of something closer to -200, so the current line scares me away.

Yet there's no denying Allen's ferocity. He's won four of his last five bouts inside the distance while Craig is 2-2 in his last four. I'd watch this bout to be a clinical grappling match or a brawl on the feet. When two esteemed grapplers go toe-to-toe, there's often a great deal of striking before anything hits the mat.

Allen is bigger, stronger, and more devastating than Craig, but "Bearjew" is tricky. He's not tricky enough to defeat his young opponent, though, I'm afraid.

Allen vs Craig Betting Pick

Allen SU is a good bet in a parlay for this card, but you'll need to get more specific in single-bet plays. I love a bet on Allen by KO, with value plays on Allen in Round 1 or Round 2.

Craig has only been submitted once in his career. There's a better chance Allen clubs him ground-and-pound attacks or busts him up in the stand-up game.

Pick: Allen by KO/TKO (TBD)

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