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Nate Robinson vs Jake Paul Odds Analysis And Prediction

Jake Paul celebrating a win in the boxing ring, while Nate Robinson flexes in a Chicago Bulls jersey

After news broke that “The Baddest Man on the Planet” Mike Tyson would return to the boxing ring for the first time in 15 years to take on “Captain Hook” Roy Jones Jr., an undercard bout was announced as well. Former NBA guard Nate Robinson says that he is taking on YouTube star Jake Paul on the undercard of Tyson/Jones. Originally, this card was set to take place on September 12 but it is now tentatively scheduled for November 28.

*This fight is in jeopardy now after the FBI raided Jake Paul’s house*

Online sportsbook Bovada has released odds for this celebrity boxing match and has listed Paul as the -180 favorite with Robinson as the +140 underdog.

Jake Paul vs Nate Robinson Betting Odds
Jake Paul-180
Nate Robinson+140

Odds as of August 10 at Bovada

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How Did Robinson vs Paul Come To Be?

This fight didn’t just arise out of thin air but rather has been building since late May. Robinson, the former NBA guard who won three slam dunk competitions, called out Paul, saying the YouTuber bullied his former boxing opponents knowing full well that he would beat them. Robinson then referred to himself as a top-tier athlete and said he would get training from the best of the best to ensure victory in a potential bout.

Like him or hate him, Jake and his brother Logan have done great business in the sport of boxing recently with the two of them putting on large events on DAZN. Of course, it was Logan who was the headliner against KSI. With two boxing matches under his belt, one amateur and one pro, both ending in knockouts, it’s no surprise that Paul has accepted Robinson’s offer, especially with the opportunity to be on the same card as boxing legends Mike Tyson and Roy Jones Jr.

How Will This Fight Play Out?

I feel like we can draw some similarities to the betting preview we did for the proposed bout between Antonio Brown and Logan Paul. On one hand, you have a true athlete, the former NBAer Robinson, who performed at the highest level of his sport. On the other is a guy who has spent some time hitting mitts, sparring and actually having fights.

Unlike the Brown/Paul hype, where we saw a video of Antonio hitting mitts that wasn’t pretty, Robinson didn’t look too bad in his video, keeping his guard high and using his hips well to move. He would be at a disadvantage in terms of height and perhaps in terms of reach, which could pose an issue as the YouTube sensation relied a lot upon his size and great jab to set up heavier punches and maintain distance in his previous fights.

If Robinson is to win this fight, he’ll have to find a way into the pocket. He may have the advantage in speed and agility, which, if used correctly, can create angles and enable him to land on Paul. However, as I mentioned above, Paul sticks to his jab very well, which could keep Robinson at bay and batter him.

Prediction: Jake Paul (-180) via decision