Clemson Tigers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish (ND +10, O/U 60)
Saturday’s ACC title game is shaping up as the marquee matchup of the weekend, featuring two of college football’s top three ranked teams. Brian Kelly and the Fighting Irish come in as double-digit underdogs now that Clemson has Trevor Lawrence back under center, as he missed the first matchup between these two teams while sidelined with COVID-19.
The Tigers are hoping for revenge after falling 47-40 in Notre Dame’s double-OT victory, and should feel confident with Lawrence back at the helm. Clemson has won by at least 18 points in every game started this season by the presumable No. 1 pick in next year’s NFL draft.
Sportsbooks are giving the clear edge to Clemson (No. 3 in the College Football Playoff rankings) in this rematch, listing Dabo Swinney’s squad as a 10-point favorite even though Notre Dame comes in as the higher-ranked team (No. 2 in CFP).
Our model is projecting Clemson to win this matchup by a score of 33.1-26.7, giving us a solid edge on Notre Dame against the spread based on the current double-digit line. With a projected margin of victory less than seven points for Clemson and a line of -10 in favor of the Tigers, our model suggests a $75 wager on NOTRE DAME +10 for an average $100 bettor.
Prediction Machine’s NCAAF picks are 516-485 ATS (51.5%) and 556-420 on O/Us (57.0%) since the start of 2019, profiting +60.0 units, or $6,000 for an average $100 bettor. Head over to predictionmachine.com to sign up for a free trial and get access to every NCAAF projection.
Why will Notre Dame cover the spread?
Tigers vs Fighting Irish: How to bet the total
This matchup currently features an OVER/UNDER of 60 points. Prediction Machine’s projected score totals 59.8 points (33.1-26.7), giving us no edge on the current total in this game.