In the college football betting world, the favorites are favorites for a reason. But, there's no better feeling than cashing out on an underdog upset and raking in all that profit -- and hey, we don't seem to be too bad at it.
Upset Pick #1 - Rutgers (-110)
Upset Pick #2 - Memphis (+290)
Final 2023 Upset Record: 17-12 (+20.16 Units)
College Football Upset Alert for bowl season
Be sure to check out our college football underdog betting report to know why you should avoid blindly betting on the underdogs at all costs.
Underdog Pick #1: rutgers scarlet knights (-110) vs miami (FL) hurricanes
There's a pick 'em meeting for this year's Pinstripe Bowl when the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (6-6 SU, 6-4-2 ATS) meet the Miami Hurricanes (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS). Despite a noble season, winning six of its first eight outings, Rutgers stumbled at the end losing four-straight. But, Miami didn't look that much stronger, by falling in three of its last four.
The Hurricanes are dealing with a lose that stings much more, though. QB Tyler Van Dyke, entered that dang transfer portal and plans to play in Wisconsin next season. The junior left Miami with 19 touchdowns to pair with 12 interceptions in 2023.
As oddsmakers have suggested, this will be a close one. So, we may be rolling the dice but at least the Scarlet Knights have some sort of consistency with Gavin Wimsatt behind the line of scrimmage.
Underdog Pick #2: memphis tigers (+290) vs iowa state cyclones
The Liberty Bowl gifts the Memphis (9-3 SU, 4-7-1 ATS) a definite advantage of playing local in Tennessee. Iowa State (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) has seen its fair share of wins and losses, with its peak success midseason. Freshman QB Rocco Becht will play his first bowl game after tossing up a promising 2,674 yards and 20 touchdowns this season.
But, Memphis' offense has been great, averaging 38.2 PPG (ranked seventh). Signal-caller Seth Henigan has held down the fort, throwing over 3,500 yards with a solid 28 touchdowns. Plus, he'll be playing in front of a predominantly home crowd and will want to keep in their good books since he's already announced his plans to return next season.
This Year’s Biggest College Football Upsets
- Colorado Buffaloes (+730 ML) vs TCU, 45-42
- Florida State Seminoles (+125 ML) vs LSU, 45-24
- Duke Blue Devils (+344 ML) vs Clemson, 28-7
- Texas Longhorns (+231 ML) vs Alabama, 34-24
- Georgia Tech (+745 ML) vs Miami (FL), 23-20
- Oklahoma Sooners (+155 ML) vs Texas, 34-30
- Louisville (+205 ML) vs Notre Dame, 33-20
- Utah (+225 ML) vs USC, 34-32
- Arkansas (+130 ML) vs Arkansas, 48-10
- UNLV (+130 ML) vs Air Force, 31-27
- Washington (+281 ML) vs Oregon, 34-31
- Alabama (+171) vs Georgia, 27-24
What Is A College Football Upset Pick?
A college football upset pick or a college football underdog pick is a wager on an NCAA football squad that is not expected to win, according to the odds. This means that the team is “plus money” or you’ll get a bigger payout if they do win, instead of a classic favorite.
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College Football Underdog FAQs
How often do underdogs win in college football?
A few weeks into the 2022 season, college football underdogs won 21.9% of the time and covered 47.9% of the time. You can read our complete College Football Underdog Betting Report.
Do favorites win more than underdogs?
In almost every sport, favorites win more than underdogs, and that's no different for college football. Underdogs can win, and there can be a few days or weeks where underdogs out-perform favorites, but it's not common.
Should I bet on underdogs?
Only betting on favorites is rarely profitable, so it's smart to mix in some underdog bets. The trick is picking and choosing the smart underdog bets, and finding value in long lines.
