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PGA Tour Expert Picks: Honda Classic

Adam Scott of Australia hits a tee shot on the 17th hole during the final round of the Genesis Open at Riviera Country Club on February 17, 2019 in Pacific Palisades, California

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the Honda Classic.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My favorite pick: Adam Scott +1400

There was a time not that long ago when it looked like Scott’s best playing days were very much behind him, but the Aussie has experienced a resurgence of sorts over the past year. Scott, who won the Honda Classic in 2016, has finished inside the top 15 in all four trips here since 2014.

Scott has a pair of high-profile close calls this season after finishing second to Justin Rose at Torrey Pines and a T-7 showing at Riviera. His comfortability with the course gives him a major edge, and I expect to see another high finish atop the Honda Classic leaderboard for the 38-year-old.

My second favorite pick: Webb Simpson +2000

Simpson posted a T-5 at the 2018 Honda Classic in his first appearance at the event since 2011 while notching two rounds of 66 on the extremely tough PGA National Golf Club. That didn’t happen by accident, as the veteran has been in the mix on Sundays more often than not over the last year.

Prior to a T-39 at Chapultepec, Simpson had recorded top-20s in his previous six starts dating back to the 2018 playoffs. His game is good enough to pick up a win in Florida, and while he’s providing solid value at +2000, I like him even more in DFS formats.

My third favorite pick: Graeme McDowell +7000

It’s been a long time since McDowell has been considered a threat to win week in and week out, but he’s feeling good again following a left wrist injury. The Northern Irishman returned to action with a T-18 at Pebble Beach and a T-42 in Puerto Rico. McDowell loves playing at PGA National, as he has four top-10s and a T-14 in eight starts at the track.