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Tyson Fury vs Anthony Joshua: Preview and Prediction

Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua posing after victories with their championships.

It appears we are getting ever closer to having our first undisputed heavyweight champion since Lennox Lewis in 2000 and the first-ever four-title undisputed champion.

Tyson “Gypsy King” Fury stopped Deontay Wilder in February 2020 to claim the WBC and Ring Magazine titles, setting up a super-fight with Anthony “AJ” Joshua, who on December 12 stopped Kubrat Pulev to defend his WBO, WBA and IBF titles.

Fans and the Gypsy King are calling for the unification bout to crown the baddest man on the planet sometime in 2021.

Joshua fell short of saying Fury’s name in his post-fight interview following the Pulev victory, but his promoter, Eddie Hearn of Matchroom Boxing, made it clear he too wants that fight. 

Online sportsbook Bovada has released Fury vs Joshua odds and listed Fury as the -185 favorite with Joshua coming back at +150. That means you would have to wager $185 on a Fury win to profit $100, while a $100 bet on Joshua would profit you $150.

Fury vs Joshua Odds

Tyson Fury-185
Anthony Joshua+150

Odds as of January 15 at Bovada

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Looking at the Fury vs Joshua odds with our sports betting calculator, Fury’s odds of -185 have an implied win probability of 64.91 percent, while Joshua’s odds of +150 have an implied win probability of 40.00 percent. 

New to betting on the fights? Be sure to check out our great How to Bet on Boxing guide. Also, keep an eye on our boxing odds page for the latest, up-to-date betting lines.

Fury vs Joshua Odds Analysis

Had this fight been proposed in 2019, when Joshua was on top of the world with a perfect record, holding the WBO, WBA and IBF titles and looking unstoppable, I’m sure the odds would have been flipped the other way. Fury was making his return to the ring, coming off a split draw against Wilder in which he was dropped twice but outboxed the Bronze Bomber for the majority of the bout.

However, over that span, AJ was stopped in his USA debut by Andy Ruiz, though he got revenge in the rematch in December and stopped Pulev in a fairly one-sided affair. Meanwhile, the Gypsy King scored three victories, two by T/KO and none bigger than stopping the boogeyman of the division, Wilder.

Many may see value on AJ, who has never entered the ring as an underdog, so seeing a plus sign next to his odds is absolutely enticing. Conversely, Fury was an underdog in both of the Wilder fights but was a heavy favorite in his “tune-up” fights against Otto Wallin, Tom Schwarz, Francesco Pianeta and Sefer Seferi. How will the Gypsy King perform as the close favorite?

Will Fury vs Joshua Take Place and When?

Many boxing fans for years have been frustrated because the top boxers in a division don’t end up fighting in their primes due to mandatory challengers and the unwillingness of promoters to work together – look at Floyd Mayweather vs Manny Pacquiao.

It was great to see Fury and Wilder put those differences aside as PBC (FOX PPV) and Top Rank Boxing (ESPN+) co-promoted the rematch. For Fury and Joshua to fight, it would have to be Eddie Hearn and Matchroom Boxing (DAZN) co-promoting with Top Rank Boxing.

Above, Hearn talks about the agreed-upon two-fight contract between Fury and Joshua to crown the undisputed champion. Additionally, it has been said that the financial side of this bout has already been agreed upon, which often is a sticking point.

I like to take an optimistic approach when speculated fights are announced – maybe that’s the fight fan in me, but I really think we get this fight in mid-2021 and then again in late 2021.

Fury vs Joshua Prediction

Both of these England natives have the ability to fight a rough and rowdy style where they get into a phone booth and exchange hands. Joshua has done this for the majority of his wins, leading to 22 knockout victories in 24 wins.

That said, he tried that vs Ruiz and paid the price, getting stopped in the seventh round. He went back to the drawing board in the rematch, relying on more of a traditional boxing style – sticking and moving and not getting into a war – and cruising to a unanimous-decision victory.

As for Fury, he is known for his slickness in the ring, sliding out of danger using his long jabs to keep his opponent on the outside. He has great conditioning and his herky-jerky style often leaves foes confused about when to throw while he’s constantly touching them with heavy jabs.

In the Gypsy King’s dominant performance against Wilder, he took the center of the ring and didn’t take a step back, bullying the Bronze Bomber and landing heavy shot after heavy shot, ultimately stopping him.

I don’t think Fury can physically exhaust Joshua the way he did Wilder because AJ has a bigger frame and can likely hold his own in the clinches. However, in a tactical boxing match, Fury outclasses AJ by a mile, and AJ does tend to get hit flush in many of his fights, which is a dangerous game to play in the heavyweight division.

I believe the Gypsy King’s game plan will more resemble the first Wilder fight than the second, piecing AJ up and using his footwork to get in and out without taking much damage.

Prediction: Tyson Fury (-185) via decision

Tyson Fury Betting Odds History

Fury is an undefeated boxer with a 30-0-1 record, the lone draw coming in his first fight with Deontay Wilder. After returning from a nearly three-year layoff, the Gypsy King is 5-0-1 with three knockouts and was favored in four of those fights.

Here’s a look at the record and betting odds for Fury’s last five fights:

Tyson Fury Record and Betting Odds History
WinDeontay Wilder+114TKO71:39
WinOtto Wallin-3333UD123:00
WinTom Schwarz-1429TKO22:54
DrawDeontay Wilder+140SD123:00
WinFrancesco Pianeta-10000UD103:00

Anthony Joshua Betting Odds History

Joshua had his perfect record snapped in a stunning upset loss to Andy Ruiz in June 2019. AJ redeemed himself with an impressive tactical approach in the December rematch, just the second fight he has won via decision in his 24-fight career.

Here’s a look at the record and betting odds for Joshua’s last five fights:

Anthony Joshua Record and Betting Odds History
WinKubrat Pulev-1000TKO92:58
WinAndy Ruiz-227UD123:00
LossAndy Ruiz-2500TKO71:33
WinAlexander Povetkin-1111TKO71:59
WinJoseph Parker-714UD123:00