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Boxing: Fury vs Joshua Odds and Prediction

Tyson Fury celebrates with his WBC and Ring Magazine belts after his victory over Deontay Wilder.

It appears we are getting ever closer to having our first undisputed heavyweight champion since Lennox Lewis in 2000. Tyson “Gypsy King” Fury put on a tremendous performance in his rematch with Deontay Wilder, scoring a seventh-round TKO victory to claim the WBC and Ring Magazine titles.

Fury now has his sights set on Anthony “AJ” Joshua, who possesses the WBO, WBA and IBF heavyweight titles, and if the two fight with all four of the major titles on the line, the result would be an undisputed champion. Fury is a -200 favorite in this potential mega-fight with Joshua coming back at +150.

Be sure to check out our how to bet on boxing article if you are looking to place a wager on this potential match.

Tyson Fury vs Anthony Joshua Betting Odds
Tyson Fury-200
Anthony Joshua+150

Odds as of May 4 at Bovada

Odds Analysis

Had this fight been proposed a year ago, when Joshua was on top of the world with a perfect record, holding the WBO, WBA and IBF titles and looking unstoppable, I’m sure the odds would have been flipped the other way. Fury was making his return to the ring, coming off a split draw against Wilder in which he was dropped twice but outboxed the Bronze Bomber for the majority of the bout.

However, over that span, AJ was stopped in his USA debut by Andy Ruiz, though he got revenge in the rematch in December. Meanwhile, the Gypsy King scored three victories, two by T/KO and none bigger than stopping the boogeyman of the division, Wilder.

Many may see value on AJ, who has never entered the ring as an underdog, so seeing a plus sign next to his odds is absolutely enticing. Conversely, Fury was an underdog in both of the Wilder fights but was a heavy favorite in his “tune-up” fights against Otto Wallin, Tom Schwarz, Francesco Pianeta and Sefer Seferi. How will the Gypsy King perform as the close favorite?

Will This Fight Take Place and When Would it Be?

Many boxing fans for years have been frustrated because the top boxers in a division don’t end up fighting in their primes due to mandatory challengers and the unwillingness of promoters to work together – look at Floyd Mayweather vs Manny Pacquiao. It was great to see Fury and Wilder put those differences aside as PBC (FOX PPV) and Top Rank Boxing (ESPN+) co-promoted the rematch. For Fury and Joshua to fight, it would have to be Eddie Hearn and Matchroom Boxing (DAZN) co-promoting with Top Rank Boxing.

Hearn says he wants the fight, Joshua says he wants the fight, so let’s get it done. Oh, wait. Wilder had an automatic rematch clause in his contract which was invoked and the trilogy bout was scheduled for the summer. As well, AJ was set to box Kubrat Pulev in June as he is the IBF mandatory challenger. 

If one bright spot comes out of the COVID-19 pandemic, it is that the Fury/Joshua fight is gaining steam again. Negotiations are underway for a bout potentially in Saudi Arabia later in 2020 or early 2021. It is said that part of the negotiations could be to pay off Wilder to not take the trilogy fight with Fury, which is now tentatively scheduled for early October. Additionally, a massive fight to crown an undisputed heavyweight champion – I can’t imagine that would take place in an arena without an audience. A lot still remains to be determined, but I’m holding out hope we get the fight.

How Will This Fight Play Out?

Both of these England natives have the ability to fight a rough and rowdy style where they get into a phone booth and exchange hands. Joshua has done this for the majority of his wins, leading to 21 knockout victories in 23 wins. That said, he tried that vs Ruiz and paid the price, getting stopped in the seventh round. He went back to the drawing board in the rematch, sticking to a more traditional boxing style – sticking and moving and not getting into a war – and cruising to a unanimous-decision victory.

As for Fury, he is known for his slickness in the ring, sliding out of danger using his long jabs to keep his opponent on the outside. He has great conditioning and his herky-jerky style often leaves foes confused about when to throw while he’s constantly touching them with heavy jabs. In the Gypsy King’s dominant performance against Wilder, he took the center of the ring and didn’t take a step back, bullying the Bronze Bomber and landing heavy shot after heavy shot, ultimately stopping him.

I don’t think Fury can physically exhaust Joshua the way he did Wilder because AJ has a bigger frame and can likely hold his own in the clinches. However, in a tactical boxing match, Fury outclasses AJ by a mile, and AJ does tend to get hit flush in many of his fights, which is a dangerous game to play in the heavyweight division. I believe the Gypsy King’s game plan will more resemble the first Wilder fight than the second, piecing AJ up and using his footwork to get in and out without taking much damage.

Tyson Fury Betting Odds History

Fury is an undefeated boxer with a 30-0-1 record, the lone draw coming in his first fight with Deontay Wilder. After returning from a nearly three-year layoff, the Gypsy King is 5-0-1 with three knockouts and was favored in four of those fights.

Here’s a look at the record and betting odds for Fury’s last five fights:

Tyson Fury Record and Betting Odds History
WinDeontay Wilder+114TKO71:39
WinOtto Wallin-3333UD123:00
WinTom Schwarz-1429TKO22:54
DrawDeontay Wilder+140SD123:00
WinFrancesco Pianeta-10000UD103:00

Anthony Joshua Betting Odds History

Joshua had his perfect record snapped in a stunning upset loss to Andy Ruiz in June 2019. AJ redeemed himself with an impressive tactical approach in the December rematch, just the second fight he has won via decision in his 24-fight career.

Here’s a look at the record and betting odds for Joshua’s last five fights:

Anthony Joshua Record and Betting Odds History
WinAndy Ruiz-227UD123:00
LossAndy Ruiz-2500TKO71:33
WinAlexander Povetkin-1111TKO71:59
WinJoseph Parker-714UD123:00
WinCarlos Takam-3333TKO101:34