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Boxing: Lomachenko vs Lopez Odds and Prediction

Lomachenko vs Lopez Betting Odds

We are getting ever closer to the first undisputed lightweight champion since Pernell Whitaker in 1992 as the No. 1 pound-for-pound boxer in the world, Vasyl “Loma” Lomachenko, looks to defend his WBC, WBA and WBO titles against IBF champion Teofimo Lopez. The bout hasn’t been made official yet, but the two have expressed interest in fighting each other and Loma wants to unify the belts. The rumor is that the two will meet in mid-April. Odds for the potential fight have been posted and the Ukraine native, Lomachenko, is a -365 favorite with Lopez coming back at +275.

Odds Analysis

If the odds hold – and I can’t imagine a drastic change – this would mark the first time that Teofimo Lopez has been an underdog in his pro boxing career. The undefeated New York native has closed as a favorite of -1000 or greater in the majority of his fights. Meanwhile, it will be old hat for Loma to enter the ring as a sizable favorite, with his tightest odds being -315 when he fought Guillermo Rigondeaux in 2017, a fight Loma won in the sixth round.

How Will This Fight Play Out?

If you have never seen Lomachenko box, do yourself a favor and watch his older bouts. He has outstanding footwork that allows him to float around the ring effortlessly, creating angles to land his powerful strikes while dancing out of the way of strikes coming back at him. And dancing is the exact reason for his in-ring movements as he was enrolled in traditional Ukrainian dance when he was a young boy. He constantly sets traps for his foes and when they fall into them, he punishes with his lightning-quick hands that eventually accumulate and finish his opponents.

As for Lopez, he is a little more straightforward in his approach, willing to absorb blows in exchange for landing his own strikes. He is able to get in the face of his opponents with little repercussion because the power he possesses at lightweight is downright scary. Of his 15 pro wins, 12 have been knockouts, and he has gone into the seventh round just twice in his career. Much like Loma, the 22-year-old does a good job setting traps but I’m not sure he can outsmart the former Olympic gold medalist.

Overall, Lomachenko’s elusiveness will have Lopez swinging at air throughout the fight, which will likely tire the younger boxer, enabling Loma to implement his game plan in the later rounds. I’m not sure he will be able to put Lopez away; this could be a fight to remember, an all-out war for 12 rounds. I would love to see this fight played back in a couple of years when Teofimo has a little more experience under his belt – this fight just seems like a bit of a jump at this point, much like when a 22-year-old Canelo Alvarez fought Floyd Mayweather in 2013.

Prediction: Vasyl Lomachenko (-365) via decision

Vasyl Lomachenko vs Teofimo Lopez Betting Odds
Vasyl Lomachenko-365
Teofimo Lopez+275

Odds as of January 23 at Bovada