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77th Golden Globe Awards Odds and Betting Strategies

Golden Globe Awards Odds December 28

The 77th Golden Globe Awards are set for Sunday, January 5 to recognize brilliance in film and television in 2019 as voted on by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association. While their 93 members may decide the nominees’ fate, oddsmakers have also added their influence to the outcome by getting betting props up for which movies, TV shows and actors will take home the top prizes.

In the movie categories, Martin Scorsese’s “The Irishman” is listed as a -200 favorite to win Best Motion Picture – Drama while Quentin Tarantino’s “Once Upon A Time ... in Hollywood” is a huge fave at -350 to win the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy.

For television, “The Crown” is -110 to win Best Television Series Drama for the second time while “Fleabag” has -400 odds to win Best Television Series Musical or Comedy.

In acting, Joaquin Phoenix is -500 to win Best Actor in a Motion Picture Drama after his stunning portrayal of “The Joker” while the resurgence of Eddie Murphy is in full effect with the comedian as a +110 fave to win Best Actor in a Motion Picture Musical or Comedy for his hilarious turn in “Dolemite Is My Name.”

Renee Zellweger is in line to win a Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Motion Picture Drama for her role in “Judy” as she’s listed at -450 and comedian Awkwafina is also -450 chalk to win Best Actress in a Motion Picture Musical Or Comedy for the movie “The Farewell.”

Unlike my profitable strategy with the Primetime Emmy Awards where we took the second option for each betting prop, I’m going to stick with the categories where we can get paid and not get burnt like Mel Gibson from a savage Ricky Gervais joke.

Award Categories To Bet On

Best Actor Motion Picture Musical or Comedy

Say what you want about some of Eddie Murphy’s movie role choices (The Adventures of Pluto Nash, anybody?) but he is awesome in “Dolemite Is My Name.” The blaxploitation biopic shows Murphy in a rare spot where he gets to do his trademark comedy while also having some dramatic elements.

Other than the fact he was hilarious in the movie with a great performance, the odds at +110 are too hard to ignore and I think oddsmakers messed up by not putting him as an odds-on favorite.

The next option on the list is Leonardo DiCaprio for “Once Upon A Time … in Hollywood” and while Leo was excellent, he didn’t have to go to the lengths Murphy did to bring the character of Rick Dalton to life. He gets outshined by Brad Pitt in some scenes and isn’t in the movie enough to have a memorable performance like he did in The Revenant or Inception.

Best Actor Motion Picture Musical Or Comedy
ActorOdds
Eddie Murphy (Dolemite Is My Name)+110
Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon A Time...in Hollywood+175
Taron Egerton (Rocketman)+250
Daniel Craig (Knives Out)+2500
Roman Griffin Davis (Jojo Rabbit)+2500

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Director

The current favorite to win Best Director, Bong Joon-Ho, is at +120 for directing “Parasite” and I’m fading him to take Quentin Tarantino.

Tarantino is all the way up to +350 to win this award and as stellar as his career has been, he has never won a Golden Globe for Best Director. “Once Upon A Time … in Hollywood” may have been a bit of a drag from a runtime perspective but it’s hard to look away from the long shots he got in Los Angeles and the mood/tension he created.

It makes me think the Hollywood Foreign Press will finally reward Tarantino now that he isn’t doing a controversial movie touching on Nazi Germany or slavery. I mean, c’mon, they both have Hollywood in the names. It’s a perfect marriage! 

I’d also take a look at Scorsese for “The Irishman” at +160 if you’re not thrilled with taking a +350 underdog because this movie was a tour de force of acting with Robert De Niro, Al Pacino and Joe Pesci, among others.

Best Director
DirectorOdds
Bong Joon-Ho (Parasite)+115
Martin Scorsese ( The Irishman)+155
Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon A Time...in Hollywood)+350
Sam Mendes (1917)+1400
Todd Phillips (Joker)+1500

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Television Series Drama

Look, I’m sure “The Crown” is great television with great acting but it should not be a favorite over the HBO hit “Succession.” The hit dramedy has been the talk of television since it premiered in June 2018 and overall is a fun premise with an ensemble cast.

I won’t get too deep into why I like Succession over The Crown because technically I’ve never watched the latter but the trials and tribulations of the British monarchy doesn’t feel like an interesting story when compared to a power-hungry family all trying to get to an even cooler throne. At +165, I’d rather take Succession than Crown at -110.

Best Television Series Drama
ShowOdds
The Crown-110
Succession+175
The Morning Show+350
Big Little Lies+2000
Killing Eve+2000

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Award Categories To Stay Away From

Best Motion Picture Musical Or Comedy

“Once Upon A Time … in Hollywood” is a lock for this award at -350 and the main reason why I would tell bettors to avoid this category altogether is the competition within the category. The only other option I would consider is “Knives Out” at +700 but it reeks of desperation from the sportsbook with Quentin Tarantino’s flick in the running.

Best Motion Picture Musical Or Comedy
FilmOdds
Once Upon A Time...in Hollywood-350
Jojo Rabbit+325
Knives Out+800
Dolemite Is My Name+2200
Rocketman+2500

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Any Other Acting Category

Outside of the Best Actor in a Motion Picture Comedy award, every acting category has a huge odds-on favorite which makes betting on these props quite difficult. Using the Best Actor in a Motion Picture Drama as an example, Joaquin Phoenix is -500 to win and it would be pretty difficult to justify a wager on sleepy Adam Driver (+375) for “Marriage Story” or Christian Bale (+2000) for “Ford vs Ferrari.”

You could possibly do a parlay of Phoenix at -500, Zellweger at -500 and Fleabag at -400 in an attempt to get to plus money but that’s way too risky and I would not endorse that strategy.

Rest Of The Awards Betting Props

Best Motion Picture Drama
FilmOdds
The Irishman-200
Marriage Story+260
Joker+650
1917+900
The Two Popes+3300

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture
SeriesOdds
Chernobyl-155
Unbelievable+150
Fosse/Verdon+1100
The Loudest Voice+1500
Catch-22+1800

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Television Series Musical Or Comedy
SeriesOdds
Fleabag-400
The Politician +750
Barry+900
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel+900
The Kominsky Method+1000

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Animated Motion Picture
FilmOdds
Toy Story 4-350
Frozen 2+500
Missing Link+600
How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World+1400
The Lion King+1800

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Foreign Language Motion Picture
FilmOdds
Parasite-2000
The Farewell+1000
Pain and Glory+1500
Les Miserables+2000
Portrait Of A Lady On Fire+2500

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Actor In A Motion Picture Drama
ActorOdds
Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)-500
Adam Driver (Marriage Story)+375
Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory)+1400
Christian Bale (Ford vs Ferrari)+2000
Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)+2000

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Actress In A Motion Picture Drama
ActressOdds
Renee Zellweger (Judy)-450
Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)+300
Charlize Theron (Bombshell)+1500
Cynthia Erivo (Hamlet)+2500
Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)+2500

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Actress In Motion Picture Musical Or Comedy
ActressOdds
Awkwafina (The Farewell)-450
Ana de Armas (Knives Out)+275
Emma Thompson (Late Night)+2000
Beanie Feldstein (Booksmart)+2500
Cate Blanchett (Where'd You Go, Bernadette)+2500

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Supporting Actor In Any Motion Picture
ActorOdds
Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time...In Hollywood)-500
Al Pacino (The Irishman) +550
Tom Hanks (Beautiful Day In the Neighborhood)+700
Joe Pesci (The Irishman)+2000
Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)+2500

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada

Best Supporting Actress In Any Motion Picture
ActressOdds
Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)-155
Laura Dern (Marriage Story)+135
Margot Robbie (Bombshell)+950
Annette Bening (The Report)+2500
Kathy Bates (Richard Jewell)+2500

Odds as of December 29 at Bovada