The Memorial Tournament crowned a deserving champion as Billy Horschel was by far the best player all week at Muirfield Village. At one point going 50 holes without a bogey, the former Florida Gator was able to card the round of the tournament in Round 3 as he signed for a 7-under 65.
Be sure to check out our RBC Canadian Open Props as well.
That gave him a five-stroke lead heading into Sunday and while there were some tight moments throughout the final round, Horschel prevailed with ease. It was his seventh victory on the PGA Tour and he now finds himself ranked 11th in the Official World Golf Rankings.
The 35-year-old will not be in the field this week at the RBC Canadian Open, but that is not to say it is lacking star power.
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler returns to competition after a week off. The last time we saw the Texan, he was losing to Sam Burns in a playoff at the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge.
Scheffler is listed at +800 at Bovada to capture his fifth title on the PGA Tour since the end of February and he looked sharp at Colonial after a surprising missed cut at the PGA Championship. He narrowly edges out Rory McIlroy at +900, Justin Thomas at +1000 and Cameron Smith at +1200.
According to our odds calculator, Scheffler has an 11.11 percent chance to claim his fifth victory of the season, something only Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Jason Day have accomplished in recent memory. A victory would not only put him in esteemed company, but also propel him into next week’s U.S. Open.
Scheffler’s RBC Canadian Open debut will likely serve as a tune-up as he will surely want to factor in the year’s third major. His best finish in the U.S. Open came last year at Torrey Pines when he finished in a tie for seventh, just a few strokes behind eventual winner Jon Rahm.
RBC Canadian Open Odds
|Harold Varner III||+3300|
Odds as of June 7 at Bodog
2022 RBC Canadian Open Picks
Shane Lowry To Win +1600
There is no better scrambler on the PGA Tour than Shane Lowry. The Irishman has the highest rate of successful up and downs and has now become one of the best iron players in the world in 2022. Lowry finished runner-up at the Honda Classic before additional near misses at both the Masters and the RBC Heritage.
While the results in recent weeks have not mirrored those three priors, Lowry’s form is still among the best in this field.
He gained strokes in every aspect of his bag at the Memorial Tournament and nearly did the same at the PGA Championship. In fact, he has gained strokes on the field in every start of 2022 between the PGA Tour and the DP World Tour.
Lowry has a tendency to be inaccurate off the tee every so often, but the need to club down will allow him to play from the short grass consistently.
He will lean on his iron play and his short game and given how he has played this year, that should be a recipe for success at the RBC Canadian Open.
Tyrrell Hatton To Win +2500
The Englishman has had a vastly underrated season, having yet to miss a cut in 2022. In fact, he has finished inside the top 40 in four consecutive starts now, including a tie for 13th at the PGA Championship in his last outing.
Hatton thrives when conditions are at their most difficult and with the winning score projected to be in the mid-teens under par, it should help his chances.
Before his play at Southern Hills, Hatton finished in a tie for ninth at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, a tie for 13th at the Players Championship and runner-up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Those were hosted at three of the stoutest tests in the spring and should translate to a similar result this week at the RBC Canadian Open.
Harold Varner III To Win +3300
Harold Varner III has quietly risen to inside the top 40 in the Official World Golf Rankings. The world No. 38 is enjoying the best season of his career and won for the first time worldwide in nearly half a decade earlier this season at the Saudi International.
The East Carolina product has yet to break through on the PGA Tour, but he continues to consistently knock on the door and the RBC Canadian Open could finally be his time. He finished in a tie for sixth at the Players Championship and was a member of the last group during the final round.
Since then, Varner finished in a tie for third at the RBC Heritage and then a tie for fourth at the Zurich Classic. The 31-year-old has always been known as a strong ball-striker, but this year he is becoming increasingly proficient on and around the greens. If that continues to be the case, the RBC Canadian Open could be the site of Varner’s first victory on the PGA Tour.
Chris Kirk To Win +4000
Kirk finished in a tie for 53rd at the Memorial Tournament and while that may not jump off the page, the way in which he did was actually encouraging. He lost more than four strokes on approach for the week, which tells me the other areas of his game are sound.
This is great news as the former Georgia Bulldog is typically a very strong iron player, which was showcased in his top-five finish at the PGA Championship. Kirk had +1.09 strokes gained approach per round at Southern Hills and followed it up with a top-20 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
His short game has been equally impressive the last month and if the putter can find some form, he should be in contention at the RBC Canadian Open. He has a tendency to be a factor in difficult scoring conditions, looking at his top 10s at the Honda Classic and Arnold Palmer Invitational, and this week may play the same.
Keith Mitchell To Win +5000
Mitchell went through a tough stretch in May but appears to have come through the other side. He notched a top-20 finish at the Memorial Tournament last week where he impressed both on and around the green.
He is a top-five player off the tee on the PGA Tour, but despite this, he historically has played his best on venues where a driver is not required. St. George’s Golf and Country Club certainly fits that mold and if Mitchell can find a semblance of his approach play, I like his chances to contend at the RBC Canadian Open.
Course and Tournament Information
St. George’s Golf and Country Club will play host to the RBC Canadian Open for the first time since 2011 when Carl Petterson claimed the title.
Without seeing this venue for more than a decade, it is difficult to discern which statistics hold more weight than others, but the scorecard and video flyovers may give us some answers.
It is a par 70 that measures just over 7,000 yards. However, it is not your typical par 70 as there are three par 5s on the property offset by five par 3s. The majority of the par 4s come in north of 450 yards and by all accounts the fairways are narrow and the rough lining the landing areas is thick.
Because of this, we will look to target fairway finders who are proficient with their mid irons as the doglegs and tall pines will make it so a driver is not necessarily required off every tee.
The 2011 RBC Canadian Open also saw scramblers perform well at St. George’s Golf and Country Club, so that skill set will be factored in as well.
What Happened In Last Year’s RBC Canadian Open?
The RBC Canadian Open has been put in the less than enviable position on the golf calendar as it was cancelled in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
The following year, it was replaced on the PGA Tour schedule as Canada was still in the middle of strict lockdown procedures and travel in and out of the country was difficult.
Instead, the PGA Tour went to South Carolina for the one-off Palmetto Championship at Congaree Golf Club. It was an exciting tournament in the southeastern United States as big names such as Dustin Johnson and Tyrrell Hatton competed.
At one point numerous players were tied for the lead on the back nine on Sunday as Chesson Hadley and Harris English duked it out.
With those two eventually falling off the pace, Garrick Higgo was the recipient of some good luck as the South African posted a number and watched his counterparts dwindle.
With Higgo’s victory, he became the first rookie last season to win on the PGA Tour and locked up his status for the foreseeable future.
It also marked his third victory worldwide in less than three months as he was victorious twice on the DP World Tour before his breakthrough at the Palmetto Championship.
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