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2024 U.S. Presidential Election Odds: Kamala Harris Is Early Favorite

Kamala Harris holds the lead in 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Odds.

The 2020 U.S. presidential election seems to have finally come to a conclusion with most major news networks announcing Joe Biden as the president-elect. As a result, oddsmakers have wasted no time releasing 2024 U.S. presidential odds with Biden’s vice-president, Kamala Harris, as the early betting favorite to become president in four years.

Harris sits at +500 odds (16.7 percent implied probability) to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election and become the first female president in the country’s history. Having her as the favorite at BetOnline may seem like a controversial choice given she is the VP for Biden.

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Biden’s odds to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election are +1200 at the sportsbook, and he trails Harris, Vice-President Mike Pence (+800) and former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley (+800) and shares the same odds as entrepreneur Andrew Yang (+1200).

NOTE: It’s important to know that these betting odds are very preliminary and will likely change quickly based on new information. Keep track of the latest up-to-the-minute Political Futures. Always do your research before placing a political bet.

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?

Odds To Win 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
CandidateOdds
Kamala Harris+500
Mike Pence+800
Nikki Haley+800
Andrew Yang+1200
Joe Biden+1200
Pete Buttigieg+1400
Michelle Obama+1600
Bernie Sanders+2000
Beto O’Rourke+2000
Stacey Abrams+2000
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+2500
Andrew Cuomo+2500
Donald Trump Sr.+2500
Tim Scott+2500
Elizabeth Warren+2800
John Kasich+3300
Mark Cuban+3300
Ted Cruz+3300
Michael Bloomberg+3500
Amy Klobuchar+4000
Cory Booker+4000
Donald Trump Jr.+4000
Gretchen Whitmer+4000
Josh Hawley+4000
Dan Crenshaw+5000

Odds as of November 9 at BetOnline

Why Kamala Harris Is The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Odds Favorite

There are a lot of moving parts and perhaps conflicting factors in why Senator Kamala Harris is the favorite in 2024 U.S. presidential odds. She’s currently the vice president-elect with Joe Biden, who just won the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

Harris would be the favorite primarily due to Biden’s age and potentially the 25th Amendment. The former vice-president turns 78 later this month and would be 82 by the time the 2024 election comes around. Nobody should want to see Biden have any health issues but the reality is that a man of that age is more prone to health scares. As it stands, Biden will be the oldest person ever to win the U.S. presidency.

That’s the only reason Harris should be the favorite because if Biden is fit and able, he’s certainly going to run again in 2024 with Harris as his VP. So, if you think the Democrats will get two terms and win the 2024 U.S. presidential election, put your early money on Biden at +1200.

Could Donald Trump Sr. Win The 2024 Election?

Yes, Donald Trump Sr. could certainly win the 2024 presidential election for two reasons. The first one is he still has eligibility to be the POTUS again as he only served one term in the White House. The second reason is the general support Trump has garnered during his four years as the U.S. president. 

The 2020 election wasn’t an overwhelming victory for Joe Biden and the Democrats like some pollsters had indicated on the campaign trail. Trump won a lot of states in 2020 that he won in 2016 like Ohio and Florida. Even though he didn’t win the popular vote in either election, his performances in other key states shows that he could be a legit contender in 2024. At +2500, the odds are worth considering.