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German Bundesliga Odds, Plus Top-Four Predictions

Bayern Munich headline the oddsboard as the undisputed favorites to win the Bundesliga in 2021.

There are only two teams in the running to win the 2020-21 Bundesliga season and one of them is a -10000 favorite. It might seem like the futures betting opportunities are done for this season but there are plenty of others to consider. We throw some light on those markets with suggestions for your bet slip for the remainder of the Bundesliga season.

According to BetOnline, Bayern Munich (-10000) is a heavy betting favorite in Bundesliga odds, while RB Leizpig is a +2000 underdog to make up six points on the defending champions.

For more information on the best places to bet on the Bundesliga, head over to our Best Soccer Sites page.

What are the 2021 Bundesliga Odds and Who are the Favorites?

Odds to win the 2020-21 German Bundesliga
TeamAmerican Odds
Bayern Munich-10000
RB Leipzig+2000

Odds as of April 15 at BetOnline

Will Any Team Stop Bayern Munich?

No, it doesn’t seem plausible at this point in the season. Bayern Munich (-10000) has been on a roll in the Bundesliga, picking up 13 of a possible 15 points in its last five games in the league. Every team has played just 28 games, fewer than most European leagues. However, this is a 34-game season because only 18 teams are participating. That lowers the likelihood of a miracle from RB Leipzig. For Leipzig to win, it will need to make up six points because of Bayern’s superior goal differential.

Robert Lewandowski missed the Champions League tie against PSG, which had a direct impact on Bayern Munich’s elimination after winning the title last year. However, he has started jogging in training after damaging ligaments in his right knee during an international game with Poland.

He is expected to make a comeback to his club side against either Bayer Leverkusen on April 20 or Mainz on April 24. With 35 goals already in this Bundesliga season, he is set to beat Gerd Müller’s league record of 40 goals in the 1971-72 season. That’s also why it’s unlikely for any sportsbook to offer odds on the top goalscorer market for the rest of this Bundesliga season.

Since the market to win the Bundesliga season is all but done, there are odds available for a second-place finish.

What are the 2021 Bundesliga Odds to Finish Second?

Odds to win the 2020-21 German Bundesliga Without Bayern Munich
TeamAmerican Odds
RB Leipzig-4000
Eintracht Frankfurt+2000
Wolfsburg+2000
Borussia Dortmund+25000

Odds as of April 15 at BetOnline

RB Leipzig loses crucial game to Bayern Munich

RB Leipzig (-4000) has had a solid campaign so far but the season-deciding game is likely going to be the 1-0 defeat Leipzig suffered to Bayern Munich earlier this month. However, there is still a second-place spot to fight for considering there are a few teams in the running.

Leipzig has scored 52 goals compared to Bayern’s league-leading 80. That lack of offensive output can be attributed in part to Timo Werner’s absence. He had a stellar 2019-20 season, finishing behind only Lewandowski in the goal-scoring charts, before his departure to Chelsea.

With Leipzig currently on 60 points and a vital game against Bayern Munich out of the way, it is a natural favorite to win this market. Odds Shark’s implied probability puts Leipzig at a 97 percent chance of finishing second.

Is Wolfsburg a left-field pick?

Wolfsburg (+2000) had a chance to make up some ground on Leipzig but was beaten 4-3 in a high-scoring thriller by Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend. That result left it six points short of second place. Wolfsburg has won 15 games, third-most in the Bundesliga this season, but it has also scored just 49 goals, fewest among the top five. That lack of aggressive firepower has played an impactful part in Wolfsburg not being able to move closer to the top two.

Wolfsburg has a 4.76 percent chance of finishing second, according to Odds Shark’s implied probability calculator, but those odds rise sharply for it to finish in the top four. Let’s break down that market as well.

Odds to Finish in the top four in the 2020-21 German Bundesliga
TeamAmerican Odds
Eintracht Frankfurt-833
Wolfsburg-300
Borussia Dortmund+130
Bayer Leverkusen+2000
Borussia Monchengladbach+50000
VfB Stuttgart+75000
Union Berlin+10000

Odds as of April 15 at BetOnline

Who Will Finish in the Top Four in the 2020-21 Bundesliga?

With Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig nearly confirmed for a 1-2 finish in the Bundesliga this season, there are only two spots open to gain direct qualification to the group stage of next year’s Champions League.

Wolfsburg has managed 54 points in 28 games at an average of 1.92 points per game. Toward the end of a season with so much at stake, the natural assumption would be that a team would lift its game by a factor of at least 10 percent. Optimistically, that would take Wolfsburg’s points tally well over two points per game.

For the sake of this market, let’s maintain a pessimistic statistical outlook in order to provide more breathing room to make this decision. In this case, Wolfsburg is likely to maintain its current point ratio or a little lower. That will still give Wolfsburg a forecasted estimate of 11 more points this season, taking its tally to 65 points.

Borussia Dortmund (+130), currently fifth on the points table with 46 points, will have to make up 19 points in six games to overtake Wolfsburg, which is statistically impossible. So, even if Wolfsburg performs below par, it should finish third or fourth.

Eintracht Frankfurt finding form at the right time

Eintracht Frankfurt has won its last three games in the Bundesliga to separate itself from Dortmund. One of those three wins was a 2-1 victory over Dortmund earlier this month. In fact, it hasn’t lost a league game in the last five. That form, confidence and momentum are some of the reasons it is a heavy favorite to maintain its current position, at worst.

Another reason is a terrific season for the Bundesliga’s second-highest goalscorer in Andre Silva, a Portuguese national who has scored 23 goals. Eintracht Frankfurt’s implied probability to finish in the top four is close to 90 percent.

Will Dortmund Spring a Surprise?

Dortmund (+130) was knocked out of the Champions League by Manchester City on a combined aggregate of 4-2. With no European distractions, it might help Dortmund slightly to stake a claim for the top four. However, so much damage has been done in the last few weeks that it seems very unlikely.

Dortmund has lost two and drawn one of its past five games in the Bundesliga. Even though Dortmund’s probability of finishing in the top four is 44 percent, I would refrain from taking that risk because there is just too much ground to make up.

This Bundesliga season is only six rounds away from its natural conclusion. Even though there aren’t too many markets left to bet on, there could be a few surprises in the next few weeks. We’ll return to update this page in two weeks to reflect those results and provide a newer betting perspective on the Bundesliga.