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Bundesliga Odds: Bayern Munich the Heavy Favorites

Jerome Boateng of Bayern Munich which are the favorites in the Bundesliga odds

With almost half of the German Bundesliga season having been played, the latest German Bundesliga winner odds would suggest that Bayern Munich are racing certainties to become nine-time champions. But while the Bundesliga odds see Munich as odds-on favorites, their nearest challengers are just one win from overtaking the Bavarian superpower.

Could a shock be on the cards? Let’s take a look at the latest Bundesliga winner odds via Bovada then plot a course to profitability as we take a view on some value-driven bets.

To learn more about Bundesliga odds and wagering on the Bundesliga, check out our How to Bet on the Bundesliga page.

What are the 2021 Bundesliga Odds and Who are the Favorites?

Odds to win the 2020-21 German Bundesliga
TeamAmerican Odds
Bayern Munich-1000
RB Leipzig+800
Borussia Dortmund+1400
Bayer Leverkusen+5000
Wolfsburg+8000
Borussia Monchengladbach+15000
Eintracht Frankfurt+50000
Hoffenheim+50000
Stuttgart+50000
Hertha Berlin+75000
Union Berlin+75000
Augsburg+100000
Werder Bremen+100000
Freiburg+150000
FC Koln+200000
Armenia Bielefeld+450000
Schalke+450000
Mainz+450000

Odds as of January 15 at Bovada

The Title Race is On

While to the outsider looking at that list of Bundesliga winner odds, it might look like Bayern Munich (-1000) are on course for what would be a ninth consecutive title in Germany, the reality is that they’re not having it all their own way. On Saturday, they blew a two-goal lead after 26 minutes to lose 3-2 at fellow Champions League side Borussia Monchengladbach (+15000).

While Gladbach is nine points back and may find it impossible to overhaul Munich in the second half of the season, it’s definitely possible that two other title challengers will be buoyed by Munich’s shock defeat.

RB Leipzig (+800) is Munich’s nearest challengers in the table and therefore are the bookies’ next picks for champions in the Bundesliga winner odds. Leipzig, however, lost themselves on the weekend, and it was title rivals Borussia Dortmund (+1400) who did the damage, winning 3-1 at the Red Bull Arena.

Dortmund has been a frustrating side to watch this season, having taken some time to get going in Bundesliga betting terms, and as a result, their odds seem to have lengthened virtually every week. At this stage, however, they are just five points behind, which given they’ve scored 15 goals fewer than Bayern Munich, is something of a miracle.

Saturday’s win at Leipzig was the first league game this season where Jadon Sancho and Erling Braut Haaland both scored, and Dortmund wouldn’t be our picks, if only for the fact that they’ve lost five times in the league already, with only 15 games played.

With Lucien Favre paying for that record with his job, the team is currently in the hands of interim manager Edin Terzić but need stability to attempt to win the league and we’d say that a strong run to qualify for the Champions League would be their limit.

Leipzig probably represents the best chance for Munich to be denied, but that defeat on Saturday came 24 hours after the Bavarians loss, indicating a certain level of pressure getting to the relative newbies in terms of the Bundesliga title race.

While Bayer Leverkusen (+5000) is sandwiched in between Leipzig and Dortmund in third place at present, they’ve only scored an average of two goals per game and over a quarter of those have come from Lucas Alario (eight goals). They’ve also failed to win in any of their most recent three Bundesliga games.

The current top scorer is Robert Lewandowski with 20 league goals, an astonishing record given the Polish best men’s player at the recent FIFA awards has only played 14 games. Erling Haaland’s record of 12 goals in 10 games would look spectacular in any other league in the world.

The Race for the Champions League

The latest Bundesliga odds make unkind reading for some Champions League challengers, with FC Union Berlin (+75000) for the Bundesliga title flying high in fifth place and only one win behind the current fourth-placed team Dortmund.

Union Berlin has been a breath of fresh air at times and is unbeaten in the past five league games, so cannot be ruled out for a place in the top four. While they sit four points behind Bayer Leverkusen, we’ve seen how quickly things can change in the last few weeks of the Bundesliga season and wouldn’t put you off that bet.

Elsewhere in the Bundesliga odds, Wolfsburg (+8000) and Borussia Monchengladbach (+15000) have blown hot and cold and don’t look capable of the kind of consistency to threaten the top four at this stage. Gladbach perhaps will improve if Manchester City eliminates them in the Champions League knockout phase, but surprise package SC Freiburg (+150000) has won five league games on the bounce to transform their season from one of fighting against relegation to challenging for a European place.

With Vincenzo Grifo scoring seven goals and assisting four more in an ever-present league season so far, the smallest club in contention for European qualification have given themselves a chance to achieve the unlikely and might be a good bet to cash out on later in the season if they can go close.

Battling the Drop

In the battle to avoid losing their Bundesliga status, teams such as Mainz and Schalke (both +450000 for the title and the longest odds) are looking increasingly doomed. Schalke have had management issues for over a full season now since the days of David Wagner and clearly lack a plan and the means to carry it out. With the worst goal difference in the division, they make the latest Bundesliga betting odds look kind and with just one win all season each, both Chalke and Mainz look destined for the drop.

While Armenia Bielefeld (+450000) currently sit outside the relegation play-off place occupied by FC Koln (+200000), Bielefeld is the lowest scorers in the Bundesliga, with just 10 goals in 15 games. For that reason, we believe they’ll drop a place over the next 19 games and drop into Bundesliga 2.

With a lot of games to come in the next few weeks, we’ll be back later in the month to update the latest Bundesliga odds, as we analyze the chances of each side and their respective ambitions.